Where and when is Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn played?

Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn is played on August 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento, in the Primera Nacional.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 27Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento, La Matanza, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Almirante Brown

Deportivo Madryn

The Footlab model makes Almirante Brown the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Deportivo Madryn. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn?

A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Almirante Brown (1,768) and Deportivo Madryn (1,846).

Almirante Brown win46 %

Draw31 %

Deportivo Madryn win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almirante Brown have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Deportivo Madryn have 6, 7 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Almirante Brown
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Defensores De Belgrano(away)	2-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 16, 2026	Tristan Suarez(away)	1-3	Primera Nacional
Aug 8, 2026	Ciudad de Bolívar(home)	2-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026	Racing Cordoba(home)	2-0	Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026	Atletico Mitre(away)	0-0	Primera Nacional

Deportivo Madryn
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Atletico Mitre(home)	4-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 16, 2026	San Martin Tucuman(away)	2-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 8, 2026	CA Estudiantes(away)	1-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026	All Boys(home)	2-0	Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026	Los Andes(away)	0-0	Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Almirante Brown win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Deportivo Madryn win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 12, 2026	Deportivo Madryn 2-1 Almirante Brown	Primera Nacional
Oct 20, 2024	Deportivo Madryn 5-1 Almirante Brown	Primera Nacional
Jun 2, 2024	Almirante Brown 0-1 Deportivo Madryn	Primera Nacional
Jun 26, 2022	Deportivo Madryn 2-0 Almirante Brown	Primera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Deportivo Madryn vs Almirante Brown on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Almirante Brown score 0.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Madryn score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Almirante Brown	0.9	0.5	9	4/15	2/15
Deportivo Madryn	1.5	1.0	6	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Almirante Brown sit 4th in Primera Nacional (41 points from 26 matches) and Deportivo Madryn sit 5th (40 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Almirante Brown	26	11	8	7	22	16	41
5	Deportivo Madryn	25	10	10	5	36	24	40

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn?: The Footlab model makes Almirante Brown the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Deportivo Madryn.
Where and when is Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn played?: Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn is played on August 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.