Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 27Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Colegiales, Vicente López, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Colegiales the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Deportivo Maipu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Colegiales (1,762) and Deportivo Maipu (1,795).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colegiales have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Deportivo Maipu have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Almagro(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Patronato(home) | 2-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gimnasia Jujuy(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Quilmes(away) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Quilmes(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Godoy Cruz(away) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Midland(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Atlanta(home) | 4-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Gimnasia Y Tiro(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Colegiales win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Deportivo Maipu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Deportivo Maipu 3-1 Colegiales | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Deportivo Maipu 1-2 Colegiales | Primera Nacional |
| May 25, 2025 | Colegiales 0-1 Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Maipu vs Colegiales on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colegiales score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Maipu score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colegiales | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Deportivo Maipu | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colegiales sit 12th in Primera Nacional (31 points from 25 matches) and Deportivo Maipu sit 6th (38 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Deportivo Maipu | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 27 | 38 |
| 12 | Colegiales | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 25 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu?
- The Footlab model makes Colegiales the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Deportivo Maipu.
- Where and when is Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu played?
- Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu is played on August 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Colegiales, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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