Where and when is Atletico DE Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez played?

Atletico DE Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez is played on August 29, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Monumental, in the Primera Nacional.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 19% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Atletico DE Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 27Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Monumental, Rafaela, Provincia de Santa Fe

Atletico DE Rafaela

Tristan Suarez

The Footlab model calls this one tight: 31% for Atletico DE Rafaela, 38% for a draw, 31% for Tristan Suarez. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atletico DE Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez?

A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Atletico DE Rafaela (1,767) and Tristan Suarez (1,858).

Atletico DE Rafaela win31 %

Draw38 %

Tristan Suarez win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico DE Rafaela have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Tristan Suarez have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atletico DE Rafaela
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Defensores De Belgrano(home)	0-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 8, 2026	Chacarita Juniors(home)	1-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026	San Martin S.J.(away)	1-1	Primera Nacional
Jul 25, 2026	Nueva Chicago(home)	1-0	Primera Nacional
Jul 17, 2026	Temperley(away)	0-2	Primera Nacional

Tristan Suarez
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Agropecuario(home)	2-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 16, 2026	Almirante Brown(home)	3-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 10, 2026	Gimnasia Jujuy(away)	2-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 3, 2026	Club Atlético Güemes(away)	3-1	Primera Nacional
Jul 25, 2026	Chacarita Juniors(home)	1-0	Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atletico DE Rafaela win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Tristan Suarez win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 13, 2026	Tristan Suarez 0-0 Atletico DE Rafaela	Primera Nacional
Jun 17, 2023	Tristan Suarez 0-0 Atletico DE Rafaela	Primera Nacional
Feb 11, 2023	Atletico DE Rafaela 3-0 Tristan Suarez	Primera Nacional
Jun 26, 2022	Tristan Suarez 4-0 Atletico DE Rafaela	Primera Nacional
Sep 25, 2021	Tristan Suarez 1-2 Atletico DE Rafaela	Primera Nacional
May 14, 2021	Atletico DE Rafaela 2-2 Tristan Suarez	Primera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Tristan Suarez vs Atletico DE Rafaela on Apr 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atletico DE Rafaela score 0.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tristan Suarez score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 19% probability of over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Atletico DE Rafaela	0.5	0.9	8	3/15	2/15
Tristan Suarez	1.1	0.7	9	5/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atletico DE Rafaela sit 8th in Primera Nacional (35 points from 25 matches) and Tristan Suarez sit 1st (48 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	25	13	9	3	28	13	48
8	Atletico DE Rafaela	25	9	8	8	18	19	35

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atletico DE Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez?: The Footlab model calls this one tight: 31% for Atletico DE Rafaela, 38% for a draw, 31% for Tristan Suarez.
Where and when is Atletico DE Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez played?: Atletico DE Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez is played on August 29, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Monumental, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 19% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.