Where and when is Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Chacarita Juniors played?

Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Chacarita Juniors is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio El Gigante del Norte, in the Primera Nacional.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Chacarita Juniors: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 27Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio El Gigante del Norte, Salta, Provincia de Salta

Gimnasia Y Tiro

Chacarita Juniors

The Footlab model makes Gimnasia Y Tiro the favourite at 63%, against 26% for a draw and 11% for Chacarita Juniors. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Chacarita Juniors?

A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Gimnasia Y Tiro (1,798) and Chacarita Juniors (1,711).

Gimnasia Y Tiro win63 %

Draw26 %

Chacarita Juniors win11 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnasia Y Tiro have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Chacarita Juniors have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gimnasia Y Tiro
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	San Martin S.J.(away)	1-3	Primera Nacional
Aug 16, 2026	Central Norte(away)	0-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026	Nueva Chicago(home)	2-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 5, 2026	Almagro(away)	2-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026	Temperley(away)	2-1	Primera Nacional

Chacarita Juniors
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	San Martin Tucuman(home)	1-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 19, 2026	Club Atlético Güemes(home)	0-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026	CA Estudiantes(away)	0-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 8, 2026	Atletico DE Rafaela(away)	0-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026	Agropecuario(home)	2-1	Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Gimnasia Y Tiro win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Chacarita Juniors win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 12, 2026	Chacarita Juniors 2-0 Gimnasia Y Tiro	Primera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Chacarita Juniors vs Gimnasia Y Tiro on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gimnasia Y Tiro score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chacarita Juniors score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gimnasia Y Tiro	1.0	0.7	7	6/15	3/15
Chacarita Juniors	0.7	1.1	5	4/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gimnasia Y Tiro sit 7th in Primera Nacional (38 points from 26 matches) and Chacarita Juniors sit 16th (27 points from 26 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Gimnasia Y Tiro	26	10	8	8	27	25	38
16	Chacarita Juniors	26	7	6	13	19	28	27

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Chacarita Juniors?: The Footlab model makes Gimnasia Y Tiro the favourite at 63%, against 26% for a draw and 11% for Chacarita Juniors.
Where and when is Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Chacarita Juniors played?: Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Chacarita Juniors is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio El Gigante del Norte, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.