Match

Ciudad de Bolívar vs Defensores De Belgrano: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 27Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Eva Perón, Bolívar, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Ciudad de BolívarDefensores De Belgrano

The Footlab model makes Ciudad de Bolívar the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Defensores De Belgrano. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ciudad de Bolívar vs Defensores De Belgrano?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Ciudad de Bolívar (1,769) and Defensores De Belgrano (1,708).

Ciudad de Bolívar win46 %
Draw30 %
Defensores De Belgrano win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ciudad de Bolívar have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Defensores De Belgrano have 2, 6 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ciudad de Bolívar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Racing Cordoba(home)1-1Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026Agropecuario(away)0-1Primera Nacional
Aug 8, 2026Almirante Brown(away)0-2Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026Atletico Mitre(home)0-2Primera Nacional
Jul 25, 2026CA Estudiantes(away)2-1Primera Nacional
Defensores De Belgrano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Almirante Brown(home)0-2Primera Nacional
Aug 14, 2026Atletico DE Rafaela(away)0-0Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026Atletico Mitre(away)1-2Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026CA Estudiantes(home)1-1Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026All Boys(away)0-0Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Ciudad de Bolívar win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Defensores De Belgrano win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026Defensores De Belgrano 0-0 Ciudad de BolívarPrimera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Defensores De Belgrano vs Ciudad de Bolívar on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ciudad de Bolívar score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Defensores De Belgrano score 0.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ciudad de Bolívar0.91.157/155/15
Defensores De Belgrano0.51.055/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ciudad de Bolívar sit 8th in Primera Nacional (34 points from 25 matches) and Defensores De Belgrano sit 15th (26 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Ciudad de Bolívar258107212234
15Defensores De Belgrano255119162326

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ciudad de Bolívar vs Defensores De Belgrano?
The Footlab model makes Ciudad de Bolívar the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Defensores De Belgrano.
Where and when is Ciudad de Bolívar vs Defensores De Belgrano played?
Ciudad de Bolívar vs Defensores De Belgrano is played on August 29, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Eva Perón, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ciudad de Bolívar and Defensores De Belgrano

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