Egypt vs Angola: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 1Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Suez Canal Stadium, Ismailia
The Footlab model makes Egypt the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for Angola. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Egypt vs Angola?
Egypt starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,723 vs 1,578).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Egypt have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Angola have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Iran(home) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 22, 2026 | New Zealand(away) | 3-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Belgium(away) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Brazil(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| May 28, 2026 | Russia(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Central African Republic(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Mauritania(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Dec 29, 2025 | Egypt(home) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Zimbabwe(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 22, 2025 | South Africa(away) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Egypt win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Angola win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | Angola 0-0 Egypt | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Nov 12, 2021 | Angola 2-2 Egypt | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 1, 2021 | Egypt 1-0 Angola | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
How many goals should we expect?
Egypt score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Angola score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egypt | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Angola | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Egypt sit 1st in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (14 points from 6 matches) and Angola sit 1st (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egypt | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 14 |
| 1 | Angola | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Egypt vs Angola?
- The Footlab model makes Egypt the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for Angola.
- Where and when is Egypt vs Angola played?
- Egypt vs Angola is played on September 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Suez Canal Stadium, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.