Angola vs Malawi: result 3-1 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on October 6, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Nacional de OMBAKA, Benguela
Full time
What was the result of Angola vs Malawi?
Angola won 3-1 on October 6, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 2′MilsonAngola
- 38′MabululuAngola
- 45′Kialonda GasparMalawi (o.g.)
- 70′MiroAngola
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Angola win at 70%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-0. Actual score: 3-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Angola vs Malawi
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Angola
4-3-3- 19Mabululu
- 18Zito Luvumbo
- 11Milson
- 16David Carmo
- 20Manuel Keliano
- 23Show
- 13Pedro Francisco
- 3Jonathan Buatu
- 6Kialonda Gaspar
- 4M. Sambu
- 1Hugo Marques
Malawi
5-4-1- 18Adepoju adebare babatunde
- 13Patrick Mwaungulu
- 8lloyd njaliwa
- 6B. Singini
- 17Gaddie Chirwa
- 15Gomezgani Chirwa
- 22Emmanuel Nyirenda
- 5Chembezi Denis
- 3C. Petro
- 2M. Lameck
- 16William Kilipota Thole
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Angola have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Malawi have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Egypt(away) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Central African Republic(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Mauritania(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Dec 29, 2025 | Egypt(home) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Zimbabwe(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | South Sudan(home) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Ethiopia(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Ethiopia(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Botswana(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Zambia U23(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Angola win, 0 draws, 0 Malawi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2025 | Malawi 0-1 Angola | COSAFA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Angola score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Malawi score 0.6 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angola | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Malawi | 0.6 | 0.9 | 4 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Angola sit 2nd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (4 points from 2 matches) and Malawi sit 3rd (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Angola | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
A question about Angola vs Malawi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy