Morocco vs Niger: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 3Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Complexe Sportif de Fès, Fès
The Footlab AI model makes Morocco the favourite at 76%, against 17% for a draw and 7% for Niger. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Morocco vs Niger?
Morocco is a heavy favourite: 1,892 Elo points against 1,463, a 429-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Morocco vs Niger
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Morocco
4-2-3-1- 11I. Saibari
- 24N. El Aynaoui
- 8A. Ounahi
- 10Brahim Díaz
- 23B. El Khannouss
- 6A. Bouaddi
- 3N. Mazraoui
- 14I. Diop
- 13Z. El Ouahdi
- 2A. Hakimi
- 1Y. Bounou
Niger
4-2-3-1- 7D. Sosah
- 14A. Muhammad
- 9K. Amoustapha
- 12O. Badamassi
- 12O. Badamassi
- 6Y. Oumarou
- 3O. Sako
- 2R. Alhassane
- 24A. Camara
- 24A. Camara
- 22M. Tandja
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 11:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Morocco have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; Niger have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Lesotho(away) | 2-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Gabon(home) | 2-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jul 9, 2026 | France(away) | 0-2 | World Cup |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Canada(away) | 3-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Netherlands(away) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Algeria(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Gabon(away) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Lesotho(home) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Mauritania(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Benin(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Morocco wins, 0 draws, 0 Niger wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2025 | Morocco 5-0 Niger | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Niger 1-2 Morocco | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 10, 2019 | Morocco 1-0 Niger | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Morocco score 2.0 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Niger score 0.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morocco | 2.0 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Niger | 0.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Morocco sit 1st in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (6 points from 2 matches) and Niger sit 3rd (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morocco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Niger | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
A question about Morocco vs Niger?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Morocco vs Niger?
- The Footlab AI model makes Morocco the favourite at 76%, against 17% for a draw and 7% for Niger.
- Where and when is Morocco vs Niger played?
- Morocco vs Niger is played on November 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Complexe Sportif de Fès, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.