APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs St George City FA: prediction and stats
New South Wales NPLRegular Season - 30Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Lambert Park, Sydney
The Footlab model makes APIA Leichhardt Tigers the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for St George City FA. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs St George City FA?
APIA Leichhardt Tigers starts as the favourite with a 236-point Elo edge (1,969 vs 1,733).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, APIA Leichhardt Tigers have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; St George City FA have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sydney United(away) | 0-0 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(home) | 0-1 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SD Raiders(home) | 3-1 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sydney United(home) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | St. George Saints(away) | 0-0 | New South Wales NPL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sutherland Sharks(away) | 1-2 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sydney FC U23(away) | 2-0 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rockdale City Suns(home) | 1-0 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Marconi Stallions(away) | 1-0 | New South Wales NPL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sydney United(home) | 1-0 | New South Wales NPL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 APIA Leichhardt Tigers win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 St George City FA win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | St George City FA 2-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 23, 2025 | APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-0 St George City FA | New South Wales NPL |
| May 10, 2025 | St George City FA 0-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers | New South Wales NPL |
| Jun 12, 2024 | APIA Leichhardt Tigers 4-1 St George City FA | New South Wales NPL |
| Mar 6, 2024 | St George City FA 1-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 27, 2023 | APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-1 St George City FA | New South Wales NPL |
Last archived meeting: St George City FA vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
APIA Leichhardt Tigers score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; St George City FA score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APIA Leichhardt Tigers | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| St George City FA | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
APIA Leichhardt Tigers sit 1st in New South Wales NPL (65 points from 29 matches) and St George City FA sit 11th (37 points from 29 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt Tigers | 29 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 62 | 33 | 65 |
| 11 | St George City FA | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 42 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs St George City FA?
- The Footlab model makes APIA Leichhardt Tigers the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for St George City FA.
- Where and when is APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs St George City FA played?
- APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs St George City FA is played on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Lambert Park, in the New South Wales NPL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 30, 2026Blacktown CityvsWestern Sydney Wanderers U23
- Aug 30, 2026Marconi StallionsvsNWS Spirit
- Aug 30, 2026Rockdale City SunsvsUNSW
- Aug 30, 2026Sutherland SharksvsSD Raiders
- Aug 30, 2026Sydney OlympicvsSydney FC U23
- Aug 30, 2026Sydney UnitedvsSt. George Saints
- Aug 30, 2026Wollongong WolvesvsManly United