Match

Rockdale City Suns vs UNSW: prediction and stats

New South Wales NPLRegular Season - 30Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Illinden Sports Centre, Sydney

Rockdale City SunsUNSW

The Footlab model makes Rockdale City Suns the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for UNSW. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rockdale City Suns vs UNSW?

A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Rockdale City Suns (1,799) and UNSW (1,718).

Rockdale City Suns win45 %
Draw27 %
UNSW win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rockdale City Suns have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; UNSW have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rockdale City Suns
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Sydney FC U23(away)1-2New South Wales NPL
Aug 16, 2026Wollongong Wolves(home)1-2New South Wales NPL
Aug 8, 2026St George City FA(away)0-1New South Wales NPL
Aug 2, 2026Manly United(home)1-1New South Wales NPL
Jul 26, 2026Sutherland Sharks(home)1-3New South Wales NPL
UNSW
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Manly United(home)0-2New South Wales NPL
Aug 16, 2026Blacktown City(away)0-0New South Wales NPL
Aug 8, 2026Sydney Olympic(home)1-3New South Wales NPL
Aug 1, 2026Western Sydney Wanderers U23(away)1-2New South Wales NPL
Jul 25, 2026APIA Leichhardt Tigers(away)1-4New South Wales NPL

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Rockdale City Suns win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 UNSW win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026UNSW 2-0 Rockdale City SunsNew South Wales NPL

Last archived meeting: UNSW vs Rockdale City Suns on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Rockdale City Suns score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; UNSW score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Rockdale City Suns1.31.528/157/15
UNSW1.21.657/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Rockdale City Suns sit 6th in New South Wales NPL (40 points from 29 matches) and UNSW sit 14th (32 points from 29 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Rockdale City Suns2912413464240
14UNSW299515384732

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rockdale City Suns vs UNSW?
The Footlab model makes Rockdale City Suns the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for UNSW.
Where and when is Rockdale City Suns vs UNSW played?
Rockdale City Suns vs UNSW is played on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Illinden Sports Centre, in the New South Wales NPL.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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