Rockdale City Suns vs UNSW: prediction and stats
New South Wales NPLRegular Season - 30Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Illinden Sports Centre, Sydney
The Footlab model makes Rockdale City Suns the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for UNSW. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rockdale City Suns vs UNSW?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Rockdale City Suns (1,799) and UNSW (1,718).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rockdale City Suns have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; UNSW have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sydney FC U23(away) | 1-2 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Wollongong Wolves(home) | 1-2 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | St George City FA(away) | 0-1 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Manly United(home) | 1-1 | New South Wales NPL |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sutherland Sharks(home) | 1-3 | New South Wales NPL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Manly United(home) | 0-2 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Blacktown City(away) | 0-0 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sydney Olympic(home) | 1-3 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers U23(away) | 1-2 | New South Wales NPL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | APIA Leichhardt Tigers(away) | 1-4 | New South Wales NPL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Rockdale City Suns win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 UNSW win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | UNSW 2-0 Rockdale City Suns | New South Wales NPL |
Last archived meeting: UNSW vs Rockdale City Suns on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rockdale City Suns score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; UNSW score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockdale City Suns | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| UNSW | 1.2 | 1.6 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rockdale City Suns sit 6th in New South Wales NPL (40 points from 29 matches) and UNSW sit 14th (32 points from 29 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockdale City Suns | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 46 | 42 | 40 |
| 14 | UNSW | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 47 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rockdale City Suns vs UNSW?
- The Footlab model makes Rockdale City Suns the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for UNSW.
- Where and when is Rockdale City Suns vs UNSW played?
- Rockdale City Suns vs UNSW is played on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Illinden Sports Centre, in the New South Wales NPL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 30, 2026APIA Leichhardt TigersvsSt George City FA
- Aug 30, 2026Blacktown CityvsWestern Sydney Wanderers U23
- Aug 30, 2026Marconi StallionsvsNWS Spirit
- Aug 30, 2026Sutherland SharksvsSD Raiders
- Aug 30, 2026Sydney OlympicvsSydney FC U23
- Aug 30, 2026Sydney UnitedvsSt. George Saints
- Aug 30, 2026Wollongong WolvesvsManly United