Sutherland Sharks vs SD Raiders: prediction and stats
New South Wales NPLRegular Season - 30Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Seymour Shaw Park, Sydney
The Footlab model makes Sutherland Sharks the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for SD Raiders. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sutherland Sharks vs SD Raiders?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Sutherland Sharks (1,771) and SD Raiders (1,772).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sutherland Sharks have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; SD Raiders have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | St George City FA(home) | 2-1 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Marconi Stallions(away) | 0-1 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sydney FC U23(home) | 1-1 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wollongong Wolves(home) | 2-1 | New South Wales NPL |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Rockdale City Suns(away) | 3-1 | New South Wales NPL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | NWS Spirit(away) | 0-1 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 0-1 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | APIA Leichhardt Tigers(away) | 1-3 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Macarthur(home) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers U23(home) | 3-0 | New South Wales NPL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Sutherland Sharks win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 SD Raiders win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | SD Raiders 2-2 Sutherland Sharks | New South Wales NPL |
Last archived meeting: SD Raiders vs Sutherland Sharks on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sutherland Sharks score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; SD Raiders score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutherland Sharks | 1.7 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| SD Raiders | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sutherland Sharks sit 4th in New South Wales NPL (46 points from 29 matches) and SD Raiders sit 10th (38 points from 29 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 46 |
| 10 | SD Raiders | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 48 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sutherland Sharks vs SD Raiders?
- The Footlab model makes Sutherland Sharks the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for SD Raiders.
- Where and when is Sutherland Sharks vs SD Raiders played?
- Sutherland Sharks vs SD Raiders is played on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Seymour Shaw Park, in the New South Wales NPL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 30, 2026APIA Leichhardt TigersvsSt George City FA
- Aug 30, 2026Blacktown CityvsWestern Sydney Wanderers U23
- Aug 30, 2026Marconi StallionsvsNWS Spirit
- Aug 30, 2026Rockdale City SunsvsUNSW
- Aug 30, 2026Sydney OlympicvsSydney FC U23
- Aug 30, 2026Sydney UnitedvsSt. George Saints
- Aug 30, 2026Wollongong WolvesvsManly United