Sydney United vs St. George Saints: prediction and stats
New South Wales NPLRegular Season - 30Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Sydney United Sports Center, Sydney
The Footlab model makes Sydney United the favourite at 68%, against 22% for a draw and 10% for St. George Saints. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sydney United vs St. George Saints?
Sydney United starts as the favourite with a 248-point Elo edge (1,884 vs 1,635).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sydney United have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; St. George Saints have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | APIA Leichhardt Tigers(home) | 0-0 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sydney Olympic(away) | 2-1 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | APIA Leichhardt Tigers(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Wollongong Wolves(away) | 2-1 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | NWS Spirit(home) | 2-0 | New South Wales NPL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Blacktown City(home) | 1-0 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers U23(away) | 2-1 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | APIA Leichhardt Tigers(home) | 0-0 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SD Raiders(home) | 2-3 | New South Wales NPL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sydney FC U23(home) | 0-0 | New South Wales NPL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Sydney United win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 St. George Saints win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | St. George Saints 1-3 Sydney United | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Sydney United 1-1 St. George Saints | New South Wales NPL |
| Apr 19, 2025 | St. George Saints 2-4 Sydney United | New South Wales NPL |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Sydney United 0-0 St. George Saints | New South Wales NPL |
| Mar 16, 2024 | St. George Saints 2-3 Sydney United | New South Wales NPL |
Last archived meeting: St. George Saints vs Sydney United on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sydney United score 0.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; St. George Saints score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney United | 0.9 | 0.5 | 7 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| St. George Saints | 0.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sydney United sit 3rd in New South Wales NPL (61 points from 29 matches) and St. George Saints sit 15th (27 points from 29 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sydney United | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 41 | 20 | 61 |
| 15 | St. George Saints | 29 | 8 | 3 | 18 | 28 | 49 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sydney United vs St. George Saints?
- The Footlab model makes Sydney United the favourite at 68%, against 22% for a draw and 10% for St. George Saints.
- Where and when is Sydney United vs St. George Saints played?
- Sydney United vs St. George Saints is played on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Sydney United Sports Center, in the New South Wales NPL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 30, 2026APIA Leichhardt TigersvsSt George City FA
- Aug 30, 2026Blacktown CityvsWestern Sydney Wanderers U23
- Aug 30, 2026Marconi StallionsvsNWS Spirit
- Aug 30, 2026Rockdale City SunsvsUNSW
- Aug 30, 2026Sutherland SharksvsSD Raiders
- Aug 30, 2026Sydney OlympicvsSydney FC U23
- Aug 30, 2026Wollongong WolvesvsManly United