Where and when is Wollongong Wolves vs Manly United played?

Wollongong Wolves vs Manly United is played on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at WIN Stadium, in the New South Wales NPL.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Wollongong Wolves vs Manly United: prediction and stats

New South Wales NPLRegular Season - 30Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)WIN Stadium, Wollongong

Wollongong Wolves

Manly United

The Footlab model makes Manly United the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Wollongong Wolves. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wollongong Wolves vs Manly United?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Wollongong Wolves (1,768) and Manly United (1,766).

Wollongong Wolves win35 %

Draw28 %

Manly United win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wollongong Wolves have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Manly United have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wollongong Wolves
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Western Sydney Wanderers U23(home)	3-0	New South Wales NPL
Aug 16, 2026	Rockdale City Suns(away)	2-1	New South Wales NPL
Aug 9, 2026	Sydney United(home)	1-2	New South Wales NPL
Aug 1, 2026	Sutherland Sharks(away)	1-2	New South Wales NPL
Jul 26, 2026	Blacktown City(home)	0-2	New South Wales NPL

Manly United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	UNSW(away)	2-0	New South Wales NPL
Aug 15, 2026	NWS Spirit(home)	0-4	New South Wales NPL
Aug 8, 2026	Marconi Stallions(home)	3-1	New South Wales NPL
Aug 2, 2026	Rockdale City Suns(away)	1-1	New South Wales NPL
Jul 24, 2026	Sydney Olympic(home)	4-0	New South Wales NPL

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Wollongong Wolves win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Manly United win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 16, 2026	Manly United 0-1 Wollongong Wolves	New South Wales NPL
Jul 19, 2025	Wollongong Wolves 2-0 Manly United	New South Wales NPL
Apr 6, 2025	Manly United 6-0 Wollongong Wolves	New South Wales NPL
Aug 25, 2024	Wollongong Wolves 1-2 Manly United	New South Wales NPL
May 18, 2024	Manly United 2-1 Wollongong Wolves	New South Wales NPL
Aug 6, 2023	Wollongong Wolves 3-1 Manly United	New South Wales NPL

Last archived meeting: Manly United vs Wollongong Wolves on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Wollongong Wolves score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Manly United score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Wollongong Wolves	1.3	1.7	3	7/15	8/15
Manly United	1.4	1.0	6	6/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wollongong Wolves sit 9th in New South Wales NPL (38 points from 29 matches) and Manly United sit 5th (41 points from 29 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Manly United	29	11	8	10	35	35	41
9	Wollongong Wolves	29	11	5	13	35	39	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wollongong Wolves vs Manly United?: The Footlab model makes Manly United the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Wollongong Wolves.
Where and when is Wollongong Wolves vs Manly United played?: Wollongong Wolves vs Manly United is played on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at WIN Stadium, in the New South Wales NPL.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.