Blacktown City vs Western Sydney Wanderers U23: prediction and stats
New South Wales NPLRegular Season - 30Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Landen Stadium, Blacktown
The Footlab model makes Western Sydney Wanderers U23 the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Blacktown City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Blacktown City vs Western Sydney Wanderers U23?
Blacktown City starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,769 vs 1,649).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Blacktown City have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Western Sydney Wanderers U23 have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | St. George Saints(away) | 0-1 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UNSW(home) | 0-0 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | NWS Spirit(away) | 1-3 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sydney FC U23(home) | 4-2 | New South Wales NPL |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Wollongong Wolves(away) | 2-0 | New South Wales NPL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wollongong Wolves(away) | 0-3 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | St. George Saints(home) | 1-2 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SD Raiders(away) | 0-3 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | UNSW(home) | 2-1 | New South Wales NPL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | NWS Spirit(away) | 4-0 | New South Wales NPL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Blacktown City win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Western Sydney Wanderers U23 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers U23 3-3 Blacktown City | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Blacktown City 1-0 Western Sydney Wanderers U23 | New South Wales NPL |
| May 4, 2025 | Western Sydney Wanderers U23 0-4 Blacktown City | New South Wales NPL |
| Jul 28, 2024 | Blacktown City 3-0 Western Sydney Wanderers U23 | New South Wales NPL |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Western Sydney Wanderers U23 3-0 Blacktown City | New South Wales NPL |
Last archived meeting: Western Sydney Wanderers U23 vs Blacktown City on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Blacktown City score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Western Sydney Wanderers U23 score 2.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blacktown City | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Western Sydney Wanderers U23 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Blacktown City sit 13th in New South Wales NPL (32 points from 29 matches) and Western Sydney Wanderers U23 sit 12th (35 points from 29 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers U23 | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 48 | 35 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 45 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Blacktown City vs Western Sydney Wanderers U23?
- The Footlab model makes Western Sydney Wanderers U23 the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Blacktown City.
- Where and when is Blacktown City vs Western Sydney Wanderers U23 played?
- Blacktown City vs Western Sydney Wanderers U23 is played on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Landen Stadium, in the New South Wales NPL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.