Match

Sydney Olympic vs Sydney FC U23: prediction and stats

New South Wales NPLRegular Season - 30Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Belmore Sports Ground, Sydney

Sydney OlympicSydney FC U23

The Footlab model makes Sydney FC U23 the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Sydney Olympic. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sydney Olympic vs Sydney FC U23?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Sydney Olympic (1,666) and Sydney FC U23 (1,656).

Sydney Olympic win26 %
Draw25 %
Sydney FC U23 win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sydney Olympic have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Sydney FC U23 have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sydney Olympic
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Marconi Stallions(home)0-1New South Wales NPL
Aug 15, 2026Sydney United(home)1-2New South Wales NPL
Aug 8, 2026UNSW(away)3-1New South Wales NPL
Aug 2, 2026APIA Leichhardt Tigers(home)1-3New South Wales NPL
Jul 30, 2026Brisbane Roar(home)0-3Australia Cup
Sydney FC U23
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Rockdale City Suns(home)2-1New South Wales NPL
Aug 14, 2026St George City FA(home)0-2New South Wales NPL
Aug 8, 2026Sutherland Sharks(away)1-1New South Wales NPL
Aug 2, 2026Blacktown City(away)2-4New South Wales NPL
Jul 25, 2026St. George Saints(away)0-0New South Wales NPL

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sydney Olympic win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Sydney FC U23 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 15, 2026Sydney FC U23 2-0 Sydney OlympicNew South Wales NPL
Jul 4, 2025Sydney FC U23 0-2 Sydney OlympicNew South Wales NPL
Mar 22, 2025Sydney Olympic 1-2 Sydney FC U23New South Wales NPL
Aug 25, 2024Sydney Olympic 1-2 Sydney FC U23New South Wales NPL
May 17, 2024Sydney FC U23 1-3 Sydney OlympicNew South Wales NPL
Jun 4, 2023Sydney Olympic 1-2 Sydney FC U23New South Wales NPL

Last archived meeting: Sydney FC U23 vs Sydney Olympic on May 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sydney Olympic score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sydney FC U23 score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sydney Olympic1.11.919/1510/15
Sydney FC U231.11.476/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sydney Olympic sit 16th in New South Wales NPL (22 points from 29 matches) and Sydney FC U23 sit 8th (40 points from 29 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Sydney FC U232911711374240
16Sydney Olympic296419316122

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sydney Olympic vs Sydney FC U23?
The Footlab model makes Sydney FC U23 the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Sydney Olympic.
Where and when is Sydney Olympic vs Sydney FC U23 played?
Sydney Olympic vs Sydney FC U23 is played on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Belmore Sports Ground, in the New South Wales NPL.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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