Marconi Stallions vs NWS Spirit: prediction and stats
New South Wales NPLRegular Season - 30Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Marconi Stadium, Sydney
The Footlab model makes Marconi Stallions the favourite at 54%, against 28% for a draw and 18% for NWS Spirit. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marconi Stallions vs NWS Spirit?
Marconi Stallions starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,929 vs 1,808).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marconi Stallions have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; NWS Spirit have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sydney Olympic(away) | 1-0 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sutherland Sharks(home) | 1-0 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Manly United(away) | 1-3 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | St George City FA(home) | 0-1 | New South Wales NPL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SD Raiders(away) | 1-2 | New South Wales NPL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SD Raiders(home) | 1-0 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Manly United(away) | 4-0 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Blacktown City(home) | 3-1 | New South Wales NPL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sydney United(away) | 0-2 | New South Wales NPL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers U23(home) | 0-4 | New South Wales NPL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Marconi Stallions win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 NWS Spirit win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | NWS Spirit 0-3 Marconi Stallions | New South Wales NPL |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Marconi Stallions 0-5 NWS Spirit | New South Wales NPL |
| Apr 12, 2025 | NWS Spirit 1-2 Marconi Stallions | New South Wales NPL |
| Jun 8, 2024 | NWS Spirit 1-0 Marconi Stallions | New South Wales NPL |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Marconi Stallions 2-1 NWS Spirit | New South Wales NPL |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Marconi Stallions 5-1 NWS Spirit | New South Wales NPL |
Last archived meeting: NWS Spirit vs Marconi Stallions on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marconi Stallions score 1.2 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; NWS Spirit score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marconi Stallions | 1.2 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| NWS Spirit | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marconi Stallions sit 2nd in New South Wales NPL (61 points from 29 matches) and NWS Spirit sit 7th (40 points from 29 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Marconi Stallions | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 21 | 61 |
| 7 | NWS Spirit | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 36 | 37 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marconi Stallions vs NWS Spirit?
- The Footlab model makes Marconi Stallions the favourite at 54%, against 28% for a draw and 18% for NWS Spirit.
- Where and when is Marconi Stallions vs NWS Spirit played?
- Marconi Stallions vs NWS Spirit is played on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Marconi Stadium, in the New South Wales NPL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 30, 2026APIA Leichhardt TigersvsSt George City FA
- Aug 30, 2026Blacktown CityvsWestern Sydney Wanderers U23
- Aug 30, 2026Rockdale City SunsvsUNSW
- Aug 30, 2026Sutherland SharksvsSD Raiders
- Aug 30, 2026Sydney OlympicvsSydney FC U23
- Aug 30, 2026Sydney UnitedvsSt. George Saints
- Aug 30, 2026Wollongong WolvesvsManly United