Match

Marconi Stallions vs NWS Spirit: prediction and stats

New South Wales NPLRegular Season - 30Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Marconi Stadium, Sydney

Marconi StallionsNWS Spirit

The Footlab model makes Marconi Stallions the favourite at 54%, against 28% for a draw and 18% for NWS Spirit. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marconi Stallions vs NWS Spirit?

Marconi Stallions starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,929 vs 1,808).

Marconi Stallions win54 %
Draw28 %
NWS Spirit win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marconi Stallions have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; NWS Spirit have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marconi Stallions
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Sydney Olympic(away)1-0New South Wales NPL
Aug 16, 2026Sutherland Sharks(home)1-0New South Wales NPL
Aug 8, 2026Manly United(away)1-3New South Wales NPL
Aug 2, 2026St George City FA(home)0-1New South Wales NPL
Jul 25, 2026SD Raiders(away)1-2New South Wales NPL
NWS Spirit
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SD Raiders(home)1-0New South Wales NPL
Aug 15, 2026Manly United(away)4-0New South Wales NPL
Aug 8, 2026Blacktown City(home)3-1New South Wales NPL
Aug 2, 2026Sydney United(away)0-2New South Wales NPL
Jul 25, 2026Western Sydney Wanderers U23(home)0-4New South Wales NPL

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Marconi Stallions win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 NWS Spirit win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026NWS Spirit 0-3 Marconi StallionsNew South Wales NPL
Jul 26, 2025Marconi Stallions 0-5 NWS SpiritNew South Wales NPL
Apr 12, 2025NWS Spirit 1-2 Marconi StallionsNew South Wales NPL
Jun 8, 2024NWS Spirit 1-0 Marconi StallionsNew South Wales NPL
Mar 2, 2024Marconi Stallions 2-1 NWS SpiritNew South Wales NPL
Jul 22, 2023Marconi Stallions 5-1 NWS SpiritNew South Wales NPL

Last archived meeting: NWS Spirit vs Marconi Stallions on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Marconi Stallions score 1.2 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; NWS Spirit score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Marconi Stallions1.20.694/154/15
NWS Spirit1.31.345/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Marconi Stallions sit 2nd in New South Wales NPL (61 points from 29 matches) and NWS Spirit sit 7th (40 points from 29 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Marconi Stallions291946492161
7NWS Spirit2912413363740

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marconi Stallions vs NWS Spirit?
The Footlab model makes Marconi Stallions the favourite at 54%, against 28% for a draw and 18% for NWS Spirit.
Where and when is Marconi Stallions vs NWS Spirit played?
Marconi Stallions vs NWS Spirit is played on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Marconi Stadium, in the New South Wales NPL.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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