Where and when is Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk played?

Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, Nieciecza

Nieciecza

Lechia Gdansk

The Footlab model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Lechia Gdansk. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Nieciecza (1,869) and Lechia Gdansk (1,848).

Nieciecza win40 %

Draw23 %

Lechia Gdansk win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nieciecza have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Lechia Gdansk have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nieciecza
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(home)	1-3	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(away)	1-2	I Liga
Aug 9, 2026	Warta Poznań(home)	1-2	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce(away)	2-1	I Liga
Jul 27, 2026	Nea Salamis(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

Lechia Gdansk
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce(home)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 14, 2026	Ruch Chorzów(away)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Podbeskidzie(away)	2-2	I Liga
Jul 31, 2026	Warta Poznań(home)	0-3	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)	0-3	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nieciecza win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Lechia Gdansk win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Nieciecza 3-2 Lechia Gdansk	Ekstraklasa
Nov 29, 2025	Lechia Gdansk 5-1 Nieciecza	Ekstraklasa
Apr 14, 2024	Lechia Gdansk 3-1 Nieciecza	I Liga
Oct 1, 2023	Nieciecza 0-0 Lechia Gdansk	I Liga
Apr 9, 2022	Lechia Gdansk 2-0 Nieciecza	Ekstraklasa
Oct 16, 2021	Nieciecza 0-2 Lechia Gdansk	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nieciecza score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia Gdansk score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nieciecza	2.1	1.6	4	10/15	10/15
Lechia Gdansk	1.1	2.1	1	9/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nieciecza sit 11th in I Liga (6 points from 5 matches) and Lechia Gdansk sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Nieciecza	5	2	0	3	7	8	6
16	Lechia Gdansk	5	1	1	3	3	9	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?: The Footlab model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Lechia Gdansk.
Where and when is Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk played?: Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.