Polonia Bytom vs Podbeskidzie: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Polonii Bytom, Bytom
The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Polonia Bytom. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polonia Bytom vs Podbeskidzie?
Podbeskidzie starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,950 vs 1,840).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Bytom have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Podbeskidzie have 7, 8 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 2-5 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 4-3 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 3-3 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Polonia Bytom win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Podbeskidzie win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2025 | Polonia Bytom 1-0 Podbeskidzie | II Liga - East |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Podbeskidzie 0-1 Polonia Bytom | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Polonia Bytom vs Podbeskidzie on Feb 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Polonia Bytom score 2.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Podbeskidzie score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polonia Bytom | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Podbeskidzie | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polonia Bytom sit 15th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Podbeskidzie sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Podbeskidzie | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| 15 | Polonia Bytom | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polonia Bytom vs Podbeskidzie?
- The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Polonia Bytom.
- Where and when is Polonia Bytom vs Podbeskidzie played?
- Polonia Bytom vs Podbeskidzie is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii Bytom, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Miedz LegnicavsChrobry Głogów
- Sep 5, 2026Arka GdyniavsŁKS Łódź
- Sep 5, 2026NiecieczavsLechia Gdansk
- Sep 5, 2026Stal MielecvsOdra Opole
- Sep 5, 2026Pogoń SiedlcevsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Sep 5, 2026Ruch ChorzówvsUnia Skierniewice
- Sep 5, 2026Stal RzeszówvsPolonia Warszawa
- Sep 5, 2026Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsWarta Poznań