Match

Polonia Bytom vs Podbeskidzie: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Polonii Bytom, Bytom

Polonia BytomPodbeskidzie

The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Polonia Bytom. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Bytom vs Podbeskidzie?

Podbeskidzie starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,950 vs 1,840).

Polonia Bytom win31 %
Draw25 %
Podbeskidzie win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Bytom have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Podbeskidzie have 7, 8 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Bytom
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)2-2I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Stal Mielec(away)2-5I Liga
Aug 7, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(home)2-2I Liga
Jul 31, 2026ŁKS Łódź(away)1-2I Liga
Jul 24, 2026Warta Poznań(home)4-3I Liga
Podbeskidzie
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Odra Opole(home)1-1I Liga
Aug 15, 2026Chrobry Głogów(away)1-1I Liga
Aug 8, 2026Lechia Gdansk(home)2-2I Liga
Aug 5, 2026Hutnik Kraków(home)2-0Cup
Aug 2, 2026Stal Mielec(away)3-3I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Polonia Bytom win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Podbeskidzie win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2025Polonia Bytom 1-0 PodbeskidzieII Liga - East
Aug 3, 2024Podbeskidzie 0-1 Polonia BytomII Liga - East

Last archived meeting: Polonia Bytom vs Podbeskidzie on Feb 28, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Bytom score 2.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Podbeskidzie score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Polonia Bytom2.12.3213/1513/15
Podbeskidzie1.81.1312/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Bytom sit 15th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Podbeskidzie sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Podbeskidzie5050885
15Polonia Bytom512211145

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Bytom vs Podbeskidzie?
The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Polonia Bytom.
Where and when is Polonia Bytom vs Podbeskidzie played?
Polonia Bytom vs Podbeskidzie is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii Bytom, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Polonia Bytom and Podbeskidzie

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