Ruch Chorzów vs Unia Skierniewice: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gliwice
The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Ruch Chorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ruch Chorzów vs Unia Skierniewice?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Ruch Chorzów (1,860) and Unia Skierniewice (1,910).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ruch Chorzów have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Unia Skierniewice have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(home) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(home) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Ruch Chorzów win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Unia Skierniewice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2024 | Unia Skierniewice 0-2 Ruch Chorzów | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Unia Skierniewice vs Ruch Chorzów on Dec 4, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Ruch Chorzów score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Unia Skierniewice score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruch Chorzów | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Unia Skierniewice | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ruch Chorzów sit 10th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Unia Skierniewice sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ruch Chorzów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 12 | Unia Skierniewice | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ruch Chorzów vs Unia Skierniewice?
- The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Ruch Chorzów.
- Where and when is Ruch Chorzów vs Unia Skierniewice played?
- Ruch Chorzów vs Unia Skierniewice is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Miedz LegnicavsChrobry Głogów
- Sep 5, 2026Arka GdyniavsŁKS Łódź
- Sep 5, 2026NiecieczavsLechia Gdansk
- Sep 5, 2026Stal MielecvsOdra Opole
- Sep 5, 2026Pogoń SiedlcevsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Sep 5, 2026Stal RzeszówvsPolonia Warszawa
- Sep 5, 2026Polonia BytomvsPodbeskidzie
- Sep 5, 2026Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsWarta Poznań