Match

Ruch Chorzów vs Unia Skierniewice: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gliwice

Ruch ChorzówUnia Skierniewice

The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Ruch Chorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ruch Chorzów vs Unia Skierniewice?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Ruch Chorzów (1,860) and Unia Skierniewice (1,910).

Ruch Chorzów win36 %
Draw26 %
Unia Skierniewice win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ruch Chorzów have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Unia Skierniewice have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ruch Chorzów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Stal Rzeszów(away)1-0I Liga
Aug 14, 2026Lechia Gdansk(home)1-0I Liga
Aug 7, 2026Polonia Warszawa(away)1-1I Liga
Aug 2, 2026Miedz Legnica(home)0-2I Liga
Jul 26, 2026Nieciecza(away)0-2I Liga
Unia Skierniewice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Puszcza Niepołomice(away)1-0I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Miedz Legnica(home)0-3I Liga
Aug 10, 2026Arka Gdynia(home)2-0I Liga
Aug 5, 2026Sokół Kleczew(home)2-2Cup
Aug 1, 2026Polonia Warszawa(away)1-3I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Ruch Chorzów win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Unia Skierniewice win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 4, 2024Unia Skierniewice 0-2 Ruch ChorzówCup

Last archived meeting: Unia Skierniewice vs Ruch Chorzów on Dec 4, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Ruch Chorzów score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Unia Skierniewice score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ruch Chorzów1.21.256/155/15
Unia Skierniewice1.71.358/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ruch Chorzów sit 10th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Unia Skierniewice sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Ruch Chorzów5212357
12Unia Skierniewice5203586

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ruch Chorzów vs Unia Skierniewice?
The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Ruch Chorzów.
Where and when is Ruch Chorzów vs Unia Skierniewice played?
Ruch Chorzów vs Unia Skierniewice is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ruch Chorzów and Unia Skierniewice

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