Arka Gdynia vs Odra Opole: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gdynia
The Footlab model makes Arka Gdynia the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Odra Opole. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arka Gdynia vs Odra Opole?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Arka Gdynia (1,900) and Odra Opole (1,803).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arka Gdynia have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Odra Opole have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(home) | 3-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(home) | 4-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Odra Opole(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Arka Gdynia win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Odra Opole win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Odra Opole 0-1 Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Arka Gdynia 1-0 Odra Opole | I Liga |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Odra Opole 0-6 Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
| May 30, 2024 | Arka Gdynia 4-2 Odra Opole | I Liga |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Arka Gdynia 2-2 Odra Opole | I Liga |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Odra Opole 1-0 Arka Gdynia | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Odra Opole vs Arka Gdynia on Jul 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arka Gdynia score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Odra Opole score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arka Gdynia | 1.2 | 1.5 | 6 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Odra Opole | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arka Gdynia sit 5th in I Liga (9 points from 5 matches) and Odra Opole sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arka Gdynia | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 9 | Odra Opole | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arka Gdynia vs Odra Opole?
- The Footlab model makes Arka Gdynia the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Odra Opole.
- Where and when is Arka Gdynia vs Odra Opole played?
- Arka Gdynia vs Odra Opole is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026Chrobry GłogówvsStal Rzeszów
- Dec 12, 2026PodbeskidzievsMiedz Legnica
- Dec 12, 2026Stal MielecvsUnia Skierniewice
- Dec 12, 2026Warta PoznańvsPolonia Bytom
- Dec 12, 2026ŁKS ŁódźvsPogoń Siedlce
- Dec 12, 2026Ruch ChorzówvsNieciecza
- Dec 12, 2026Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsLechia Gdansk
- Dec 12, 2026Polonia WarszawavsPuszcza Niepołomice