Match

Stal Mielec vs Unia Skierniewice: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato, Mielec

Stal MielecUnia Skierniewice

The Footlab AI model makes Stal Mielec the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Unia Skierniewice. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stal Mielec wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 5,241 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stal Mielec vs Unia Skierniewice?

A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Stal Mielec (1,744) and Unia Skierniewice (1,803).

49%25%26%
Stal Mielec winDrawUnia Skierniewice win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Stal Mielec vs Unia Skierniewice

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Stal Mielec

4-4-1-1
  1. 78K. Cybulski
  1. 32F. Gerbowski
  2. 7M. Cebula
  3. 18P. Wlazło
  4. 19T. Gmur
  5. 23K. Getinger
  1. 44Israel Puerto
  2. 14K. Kościelny
  3. 94B. Kwiecień
  4. 5H. Matynia
  1. 99M. Gostomski

Unia Skierniewice

4-3-3
  1. 11B. Bida
  2. 9K. Sabiłło
  3. 19K. Kalisz
  1. 52D. Gąska
  2. 18Jan Mierzwa
  3. 77A. Burkiewicz
  1. 3J. Straus
  2. 28M. Stepien
  3. 17J. Kaminski
  4. 24B. Eizenchart
  1. 22S. Pruszkowski

Computed on November 10, 2026 at 03:24 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Mielec have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Unia Skierniewice have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stal Mielec
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Ruch Chorzów(home)2-0I Liga
Oct 30, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away)1-0I Liga
Oct 24, 2026Chrobry Głogów(home)0-0I Liga
Oct 17, 2026Miedz Legnica(away)0-3I Liga
Oct 11, 2026Warta Poznań(home)2-1I Liga
Unia Skierniewice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 6, 2026Odra Opole(away)5-3I Liga
Oct 31, 2026Lechia Gdansk(away)2-3I Liga
Oct 24, 2026Polonia Bytom(home)1-2I Liga
Oct 16, 2026Warta Poznań(away)0-1I Liga
Oct 10, 2026Nieciecza(home)2-2I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 1 Stal Mielec win, 0 draws, 0 Unia Skierniewice wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 26, 2026Unia Skierniewice 1-2 Stal MielecI Liga

Last archived meeting: Unia Skierniewice vs Stal Mielec on Jul 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stal Mielec score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Unia Skierniewice score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stal Mielec1.52.039/159/15
Unia Skierniewice1.51.9210/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stal Mielec sit 11th in I Liga (19 points from 14 matches) and Unia Skierniewice sit 17th (14 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Stal Mielec14545192719
17Unia Skierniewice14428202614

A question about Stal Mielec vs Unia Skierniewice?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stal Mielec vs Unia Skierniewice?
The Footlab AI model makes Stal Mielec the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Unia Skierniewice.
Where and when is Stal Mielec vs Unia Skierniewice played?
Stal Mielec vs Unia Skierniewice is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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