Ruch Chorzów vs Nieciecza: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gliwice
The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Nieciecza. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ruch Chorzów vs Nieciecza?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Ruch Chorzów (1,862) and Nieciecza (1,871).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ruch Chorzów have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Nieciecza have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(home) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Ruch Chorzów win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Nieciecza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nieciecza 2-0 Ruch Chorzów | I Liga |
| Mar 3, 2025 | Ruch Chorzów 2-2 Nieciecza | I Liga |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Nieciecza 1-1 Ruch Chorzów | I Liga |
| Mar 31, 2023 | Nieciecza 2-1 Ruch Chorzów | I Liga |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Ruch Chorzów 2-1 Nieciecza | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Nieciecza vs Ruch Chorzów on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ruch Chorzów score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nieciecza score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruch Chorzów | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Nieciecza | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ruch Chorzów sit 10th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Nieciecza sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ruch Chorzów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Nieciecza | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ruch Chorzów vs Nieciecza?
- The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Nieciecza.
- Where and when is Ruch Chorzów vs Nieciecza played?
- Ruch Chorzów vs Nieciecza is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026Arka GdyniavsOdra Opole
- Dec 12, 2026Chrobry GłogówvsStal Rzeszów
- Dec 12, 2026PodbeskidzievsMiedz Legnica
- Dec 12, 2026Stal MielecvsUnia Skierniewice
- Dec 12, 2026Warta PoznańvsPolonia Bytom
- Dec 12, 2026ŁKS ŁódźvsPogoń Siedlce
- Dec 12, 2026Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsLechia Gdansk
- Dec 12, 2026Polonia WarszawavsPuszcza Niepołomice