Podbeskidzie vs Miedz Legnica: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Bielsko-Biała
The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Miedz Legnica. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Podbeskidzie vs Miedz Legnica?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Podbeskidzie (1,952) and Miedz Legnica (1,898).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podbeskidzie have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Miedz Legnica have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 3-3 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(away) | 3-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(away) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Podbeskidzie win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Miedz Legnica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2026 | Miedz Legnica 1-1 Podbeskidzie | I Liga |
| May 13, 2024 | Miedz Legnica 6-1 Podbeskidzie | I Liga |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Podbeskidzie 0-0 Miedz Legnica | I Liga |
| Apr 14, 2022 | Podbeskidzie 1-1 Miedz Legnica | I Liga |
| Oct 1, 2021 | Miedz Legnica 4-2 Podbeskidzie | I Liga |
| Jun 12, 2020 | Miedz Legnica 2-2 Podbeskidzie | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Miedz Legnica vs Podbeskidzie on Jul 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Podbeskidzie score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Miedz Legnica score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Podbeskidzie | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
| Miedz Legnica | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Podbeskidzie sit 13th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Miedz Legnica sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Miedz Legnica | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 13 | Podbeskidzie | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Podbeskidzie vs Miedz Legnica?
- The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Miedz Legnica.
- Where and when is Podbeskidzie vs Miedz Legnica played?
- Podbeskidzie vs Miedz Legnica is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026Arka GdyniavsOdra Opole
- Dec 12, 2026Chrobry GłogówvsStal Rzeszów
- Dec 12, 2026Stal MielecvsUnia Skierniewice
- Dec 12, 2026Warta PoznańvsPolonia Bytom
- Dec 12, 2026ŁKS ŁódźvsPogoń Siedlce
- Dec 12, 2026Ruch ChorzówvsNieciecza
- Dec 12, 2026Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsLechia Gdansk
- Dec 12, 2026Polonia WarszawavsPuszcza Niepołomice