Where and when is ŁKS Łódź vs Pogoń Siedlce played?

ŁKS Łódź vs Pogoń Siedlce is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski LKS Lodz, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

ŁKS Łódź vs Pogoń Siedlce: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski LKS Lodz, Łódź

ŁKS Łódź

Pogoń Siedlce

The Footlab model makes ŁKS Łódź the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Pogoń Siedlce. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win ŁKS Łódź vs Pogoń Siedlce?

ŁKS Łódź starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,898 vs 1,759).

ŁKS Łódź win62 %

Draw23 %

Pogoń Siedlce win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ŁKS Łódź have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Pogoń Siedlce have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

ŁKS Łódź
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Stal Mielec(home)	4-0	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	Nieciecza(home)	2-1	I Liga
Aug 9, 2026	Chrobry Głogów(home)	1-2	I Liga
Jul 31, 2026	Polonia Bytom(home)	2-1	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce(away)	1-1	I Liga

Pogoń Siedlce
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(away)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(home)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Bytom(away)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Nieciecza(home)	1-2	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(home)	1-1	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 ŁKS Łódź win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Pogoń Siedlce win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 25, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce 1-1 ŁKS Łódź	I Liga
May 2, 2026	ŁKS Łódź 4-0 Pogoń Siedlce	I Liga
Oct 25, 2025	Pogoń Siedlce 3-1 ŁKS Łódź	I Liga
Apr 6, 2025	Pogoń Siedlce 1-1 ŁKS Łódź	I Liga
Sep 13, 2024	ŁKS Łódź 2-0 Pogoń Siedlce	I Liga
Jan 18, 2023	ŁKS Łódź 1-3 Pogoń Siedlce	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Pogoń Siedlce vs ŁKS Łódź on Jul 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

ŁKS Łódź score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pogoń Siedlce score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
ŁKS Łódź	1.9	1.3	2	11/15	12/15
Pogoń Siedlce	1.1	1.8	3	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

ŁKS Łódź sit 3rd in I Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and Pogoń Siedlce sit 14th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	ŁKS Łódź	5	3	1	1	10	5	10
14	Pogoń Siedlce	5	1	2	2	5	6	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for ŁKS Łódź vs Pogoń Siedlce?: The Footlab model makes ŁKS Łódź the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Pogoń Siedlce.
Where and when is ŁKS Łódź vs Pogoń Siedlce played?: ŁKS Łódź vs Pogoń Siedlce is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski LKS Lodz, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.