Arosa vs Pontevedra: prediction and stats
Copa del ReyRound of 128Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio A Lomba, Vilagarcía de Arousa
The Footlab AI model makes Pontevedra the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Arosa. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,502 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arosa vs Pontevedra?
On Elo ratings, Arosa has 1,905 points and Pontevedra 1,989.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arosa vs Pontevedra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arosa
Not enough data to predict the Arosa lineup.
Pontevedra
4-3-3- 22A. Comparada Gonzalez
- 11Iñaki Elejalde
- 9D. Mba
- 10Y. Pino
- 14L. Macias
- 6I. Ivorra
- 16A. Vidorreta
- 5A. Perez
- 20Rui Ferreira
- 15D. Alba
- 1Raúl Marqueta
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 06:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arosa have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Pontevedra have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bergantiños(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ourense CF(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(home) | 2-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cacereño(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mérida AD(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ponferradina(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Arosa win, 1 draw, 1 Pontevedra win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arosa 3-1 Pontevedra | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Arosa 1-1 Pontevedra | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 28, 2021 | Pontevedra 1-0 Arosa | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Arosa score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Pontevedra score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arosa | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Pontevedra | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Arosa vs Pontevedra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arosa vs Pontevedra?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pontevedra the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Arosa.
- Where and when is Arosa vs Pontevedra played?
- Arosa vs Pontevedra is played on October 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio A Lomba, in the Copa del Rey.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.