Where and when is Ashington AFC vs West Auckland Town played?

Ashington AFC vs West Auckland Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The dwmedia Stadium, in the FA Trophy.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ashington AFC vs West Auckland Town: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The dwmedia Stadium, Ashington, Northumberland

Ashington AFC

West Auckland Town

The Footlab model makes West Auckland Town the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Ashington AFC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ashington AFC vs West Auckland Town?

West Auckland Town starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,711 vs 1,602).

Ashington AFC win33 %

Draw25 %

West Auckland Town win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ashington AFC have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; West Auckland Town have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ashington AFC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Lincoln United(home)	6-3	Non League Div One - Northern East
Apr 18, 2026	Brighouse Town(away)	2-0	Non League Div One - Northern East
Apr 11, 2026	Matlock Town(away)	0-5	Non League Div One - Northern East
Apr 6, 2026	Heaton Stannington(home)	2-1	Non League Div One - Northern East
Apr 4, 2026	Hallam(away)	0-1	Non League Div One - Northern East

West Auckland Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Sep 13, 2025	Spennymoor Town(home)	0-1	FA Cup
Aug 30, 2025	Wythenshawe Amateurs(home)	3-1	FA Cup
Aug 19, 2025	Bridlington Town(away)	2-1	FA Cup
Aug 16, 2025	Bridlington Town(home)	2-2	FA Cup
Aug 2, 2025	Garforth Town(away)	3-2	FA Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Ashington AFC win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 West Auckland Town win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Sep 12, 2020	West Auckland Town 3-3 Ashington AFC	FA Cup
Sep 8, 2012	Ashington AFC 2-3 West Auckland Town	FA Cup

Last archived meeting: West Auckland Town vs Ashington AFC on Sep 12, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

Ashington AFC score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; West Auckland Town score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ashington AFC	1.1	1.8	8	4/15	6/15
West Auckland Town	1.5	1.5	4	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ashington AFC vs West Auckland Town?: The Footlab model makes West Auckland Town the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Ashington AFC.
Where and when is Ashington AFC vs West Auckland Town played?: Ashington AFC vs West Auckland Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The dwmedia Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.