Match

Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia

Atlanta United FCFC Cincinnati

The Footlab AI model makes FC Cincinnati the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Atlanta United FC. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Cincinnati wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati?

A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Atlanta United FC (1,803) and FC Cincinnati (1,900).

34%23%43%
Atlanta United FC winDrawFC Cincinnati win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Atlanta United FC

4-3-3
  1. 36B. Embolo
  2. 48C. Sanchez
  3. 59A. Miranchuk
  1. 8T. Muyumba
  2. 11G. Galoppo
  3. 14M. Amaro
  1. 55T. Jacob
  2. 3E. Báez
  3. 6J. Alonso
  4. 4E. Mihaj
  1. 1L. Hoyos

FC Cincinnati

3-5-2
  1. 9K. Denkey
  2. 16T. Barlow
  1. 22G. Valenzuela
  2. 17K. Mboma Dem
  3. 10Evander
  4. 5O. Nwobodo
  5. 66E. Echenique
  1. 11S. Gidi
  2. 4N. Hagglund
  3. 12M. Robinson
  1. 18R. Celentano

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 03:46 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlanta United FC have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; FC Cincinnati have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlanta United FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 26, 2026New York City FC(home)2-2Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Portland Timbers(away)1-0Major League Soccer
Sep 12, 2026DC United(away)0-0Major League Soccer
Sep 9, 2026Orlando City SC(home)2-3Major League Soccer
Sep 5, 2026Inter Miami(away)2-2Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 26, 2026CF Montreal(away)1-3Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Houston Dynamo(away)2-2Major League Soccer
Sep 12, 2026Charlotte(home)3-3Major League Soccer
Sep 9, 2026Philadelphia Union(away)0-5Major League Soccer
Aug 30, 2026Nashville SC(away)0-4Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atlanta United FC win, 2 draws, 3 FC Cincinnati wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2026FC Cincinnati 2-0 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
May 25, 2025Atlanta United FC 4-2 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
Mar 22, 2025FC Cincinnati 2-2 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
Feb 12, 2025Atlanta United FC 2-2 FC CincinnatiFriendlies Clubs
May 15, 2024FC Cincinnati 1-0 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
Apr 20, 2024Atlanta United FC 1-2 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United FC on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atlanta United FC score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Cincinnati score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Atlanta United FC1.31.9210/1510/15
FC Cincinnati1.92.1112/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atlanta United FC sit 14th in Major League Soccer (27 points from 27 matches) and FC Cincinnati sit 10th (33 points from 26 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10FC Cincinnati26899556433
14Atlanta United FC277614324527

A question about Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati?
The Footlab AI model makes FC Cincinnati the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Atlanta United FC.
Where and when is Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati played?
Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Atlanta United FC and FC Cincinnati

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