Where and when is Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati played?

Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia

Atlanta United FC

FC Cincinnati

The Footlab model makes Atlanta United FC the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for FC Cincinnati. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati?

FC Cincinnati starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,852 vs 1,695).

Atlanta United FC win40 %

Draw24 %

FC Cincinnati win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlanta United FC have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; FC Cincinnati have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlanta United FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Sporting Kansas City(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	Minnesota United FC(away)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	New York Red Bulls(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026	Philadelphia Union(away)	2-3	Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2026	New England Revolution(away)	1-4	Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Seattle Sounders(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	New York City FC(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	Orlando City SC(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026	Atlas(home)	1-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 8, 2026	U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home)	2-0	Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atlanta United FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 FC Cincinnati win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 21, 2026	FC Cincinnati 2-0 Atlanta United FC	Major League Soccer
May 25, 2025	Atlanta United FC 4-2 FC Cincinnati	Major League Soccer
Mar 22, 2025	FC Cincinnati 2-2 Atlanta United FC	Major League Soccer
Feb 12, 2025	Atlanta United FC 2-2 FC Cincinnati	Friendlies Clubs
May 15, 2024	FC Cincinnati 1-0 Atlanta United FC	Major League Soccer
Apr 20, 2024	Atlanta United FC 1-2 FC Cincinnati	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United FC on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atlanta United FC score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Cincinnati score 2.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Atlanta United FC	1.5	1.7	1	12/15	11/15
FC Cincinnati	2.6	1.9	1	14/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atlanta United FC sit 15th in Major League Soccer (18 points from 20 matches) and FC Cincinnati sit 6th (31 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	FC Cincinnati	21	8	7	6	49	47	31
15	Atlanta United FC	20	5	3	12	23	35	18

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati?: The Footlab model makes Atlanta United FC the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for FC Cincinnati.
Where and when is Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati played?: Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.