Match

Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Inter&Co Stadium, Orlando, Florida

Orlando City SCColumbus Crew

The Footlab AI model makes Orlando City SC the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Columbus Crew. The most likely score is 1-1. If Orlando City SC wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Orlando City SC (1,886) and Columbus Crew (1,901).

40%26%34%
Orlando City SC winDrawColumbus Crew win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Orlando City SC

4-4-2
  1. 7A. Griezmann
  2. 22Justin Ellis
  1. 77I. Angulo
  2. 35Joran Gerbet
  3. 10M. Ojeda
  4. 20E. Atuesta
  1. 6R. Jansson
  2. 44Bernardo Rhein Goncalves
  3. 4D. Brekalo
  4. 19Z. Taifi
  1. 71M. Crépeau

Known absences

  • T. SpicerOut · Foot injury
  • B. OjedaDoubtful · Foot injury
  • G. DorseyDoubtful · Back injury

Columbus Crew

3-4-3
  1. 8S. Rodríguez
  2. 10Brais Méndez
  3. 77Josef Martínez
  1. 16T. Habroune
  2. 23M. Farsi
  3. 21A. Zaroury
  4. 20André Gomes
  1. 18M. Amundsen
  2. 25S. Zawadzki
  3. 31S. Moreira
  1. 28P. Schulte

Known absences

  • W. Abou AliOut · Knee injury

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 03:46 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orlando City SC have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Columbus Crew have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Orlando City SC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 26, 2026Philadelphia Union(away)2-4Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2026New England Revolution(away)2-4Major League Soccer
Sep 16, 2026Columbus Crew(away)1-2US Open Cup
Sep 12, 2026Toronto FC(home)3-0Major League Soccer
Sep 9, 2026Atlanta United FC(away)3-2Major League Soccer
Columbus Crew
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026Inter Miami(home)2-1Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2026CF Montreal(away)2-0Major League Soccer
Sep 16, 2026Orlando City SC(home)2-1US Open Cup
Sep 12, 2026New York Red Bulls(home)0-1Major League Soccer
Sep 9, 2026DC United(away)1-2Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Orlando City SC win, 2 draws, 3 Columbus Crew wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 16, 2026Columbus Crew 2-1 Orlando City SCUS Open Cup
Apr 12, 2026Columbus Crew 1-1 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
Oct 4, 2025Orlando City SC 1-1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
Jul 25, 2025Columbus Crew 1-3 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
Sep 21, 2024Columbus Crew 4-3 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
May 25, 2024Orlando City SC 0-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Columbus Crew vs Orlando City SC on Sep 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Orlando City SC score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Columbus Crew score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Orlando City SC1.81.8312/1512/15
Columbus Crew1.51.5211/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Orlando City SC sit 7th in Major League Soccer (34 points from 27 matches) and Columbus Crew sit 12th (29 points from 27 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Orlando City SC2710413486434
12Columbus Crew278514394329

A question about Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew?
The Footlab AI model makes Orlando City SC the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Columbus Crew.
Where and when is Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew played?
Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Inter&Co Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Orlando City SC and Columbus Crew

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