Inter Miami vs DC United: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Chase Stadium, Fort Lauderdale, Florida
The Footlab model makes Inter Miami the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for DC United. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inter Miami vs DC United?
Inter Miami starts as the favourite with a 256-point Elo edge (1,909 vs 1,653).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inter Miami have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; DC United have 3, 9 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Toronto FC(home) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Philadelphia Union(away) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nashville SC(away) | 1-4 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Leon(home) | 2-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Monterrey(home) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Charlotte(away) | 1-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | New England Revolution(home) | 0-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CF Montreal(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nashville SC(home) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Toronto FC(home) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Inter Miami win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 DC United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | DC United 1-2 Inter Miami | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Inter Miami 3-2 DC United | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 23, 2025 | DC United 1-1 Inter Miami | Major League Soccer |
| May 18, 2024 | Inter Miami 1-0 DC United | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 16, 2024 | DC United 1-3 Inter Miami | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 8, 2023 | DC United 2-2 Inter Miami | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: DC United vs Inter Miami on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Inter Miami score 2.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; DC United score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami | 2.5 | 2.2 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| DC United | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inter Miami sit 2nd in Major League Soccer (39 points from 21 matches) and DC United sit 11th (24 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Inter Miami | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 49 | 40 | 39 |
| 11 | DC United | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 36 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inter Miami vs DC United?
- The Footlab model makes Inter Miami the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for DC United.
- Where and when is Inter Miami vs DC United played?
- Inter Miami vs DC United is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Chase Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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