Match

New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts

New England RevolutionSeattle Sounders

The Footlab AI model makes New England Revolution the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Seattle Sounders. The most likely score is 1-1. If New England Revolution wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders?

On Elo ratings, New England Revolution has 1,871 points and Seattle Sounders 1,920.

54%23%23%
New England Revolution winDrawSeattle Sounders win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

New England Revolution

4-3-3
  1. 16D. Gazdag
  2. 99D. Turgeman
  3. 25P. Miller
  1. 10Carles Gil
  2. 14J. Yueill
  3. 21B. Raines
  1. 8M. Polster
  2. 2M. Fofana
  3. 23W. Sands
  4. 22E. Kohler
  1. 30M. Turner

Known absences

  • A. YusufOut · Muscle injury
  • J. HarrisonOut · Injured
  • L. CampanaDoubtful · Hamstring injury

Seattle Sounders

4-2-3-1
  1. 19D. Musovski
  1. 11A. Rusnák
  2. 13J. Morris
  3. 45P. Kingston
  4. 17P. Arriola
  5. 31H. Dotson
  1. 5N. Tolo
  2. 16A. Roldan
  3. 39S. Hawkins
  4. 25J. Ragen
  1. 26A. Thomas

Known absences

  • C. RoldanOut · Muscle injury
  • N. PetkovićOut · Knee injury
  • P. de la VegaOut · Calf injury
  • P. RothrockOut · Injured
  • J. FerreiraDoubtful · Muscle injury

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 09:55 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, New England Revolution have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Seattle Sounders have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

New England Revolution
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026Real Salt Lake(away)0-3Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2026Orlando City SC(home)4-2Major League Soccer
Sep 13, 2026Chicago Fire(away)2-1Major League Soccer
Sep 10, 2026New York City FC(away)2-1Major League Soccer
Sep 6, 2026Los Angeles Galaxy(away)1-2Major League Soccer
Seattle Sounders
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 2, 2026Sporting Kansas City(home)2-1Major League Soccer
Sep 27, 2026Minnesota United FC(home)3-1Major League Soccer
Sep 24, 2026Real Salt Lake(home)2-0Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Colorado Rapids(away)3-3Major League Soccer
Sep 13, 2026Los Angeles Galaxy(away)1-1Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 New England Revolution win, 3 draws, 2 Seattle Sounders wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 7, 2024Seattle Sounders 2-0 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
Aug 10, 2019Seattle Sounders 3-3 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
Jul 7, 2018New England Revolution 0-0 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
Apr 30, 2017Seattle Sounders 3-3 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
May 28, 2016New England Revolution 2-1 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
Mar 9, 2015Seattle Sounders 3-0 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Seattle Sounders vs New England Revolution on Jul 7, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

New England Revolution score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Seattle Sounders score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
New England Revolution1.71.3210/1511/15
Seattle Sounders1.31.439/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

New England Revolution sit 2nd in Major League Soccer (46 points from 27 matches) and Seattle Sounders sit 7th (38 points from 27 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2New England RevolutionEastern Conference271449453646
7Seattle SoundersWestern Conference271089353538

A question about New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders?
The Footlab AI model makes New England Revolution the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Seattle Sounders.
Where and when is New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders played?
New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Gillette Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: New England Revolution and Seattle Sounders

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