New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
The Footlab model makes New England Revolution the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Seattle Sounders. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate New England Revolution (1,735) and Seattle Sounders (1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, New England Revolution have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Seattle Sounders have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | New York City FC(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | DC United(away) | 3-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Toronto FC(away) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(home) | 0-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 1, 2026 | CF Montreal(away) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Cincinnati(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Austin(home) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps(home) | 0-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 3-0 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 New England Revolution win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Seattle Sounders win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 2024 | Seattle Sounders 2-0 New England Revolution | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 10, 2019 | Seattle Sounders 3-3 New England Revolution | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 7, 2018 | New England Revolution 0-0 Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 30, 2017 | Seattle Sounders 3-3 New England Revolution | Major League Soccer |
| May 28, 2016 | New England Revolution 2-1 Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 9, 2015 | Seattle Sounders 3-0 New England Revolution | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Seattle Sounders vs New England Revolution on Jul 7, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
New England Revolution score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Seattle Sounders score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Seattle Sounders | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
New England Revolution sit 4th in Major League Soccer (34 points from 21 matches) and Seattle Sounders sit 13th (25 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | New England Revolution | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 34 |
| 13 | Seattle Sounders | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 27 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders?
- The Footlab model makes New England Revolution the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Seattle Sounders.
- Where and when is New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders played?
- New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Gillette Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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