Where and when is Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake played?

Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Subaru Park, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Subaru Park, Chester, Pennsylvania

Philadelphia Union

Real Salt Lake

The Footlab model makes Philadelphia Union the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Real Salt Lake. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Philadelphia Union (1,798) and Real Salt Lake (1,811).

Philadelphia Union win49 %

Draw24 %

Real Salt Lake win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Philadelphia Union have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Real Salt Lake have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Philadelphia Union
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Austin(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	Inter Miami(home)	2-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	New York City FC(away)	3-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Santos Laguna(home)	0-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Necaxa(home)	3-1	Leagues Cup

Real Salt Lake
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Orlando City SC(away)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	FC Dallas(home)	3-4	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Minnesota United FC(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026	FC Juarez(home)	3-0	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Atlante FC(home)	4-0	Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Philadelphia Union win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Real Salt Lake win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 27, 2024	Philadelphia Union 1-2 Real Salt Lake	Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2019	Real Salt Lake 4-0 Philadelphia Union	Major League Soccer
May 19, 2018	Philadelphia Union 4-1 Real Salt Lake	Major League Soccer
May 28, 2017	Real Salt Lake 1-0 Philadelphia Union	Major League Soccer
Jul 31, 2016	Philadelphia Union 1-2 Real Salt Lake	Major League Soccer
Mar 15, 2015	Real Salt Lake 3-3 Philadelphia Union	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake on Apr 27, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Philadelphia Union score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Real Salt Lake score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Philadelphia Union	1.7	1.8	2	10/15	8/15
Real Salt Lake	1.9	1.3	4	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Philadelphia Union sit 13th in Major League Soccer (21 points from 21 matches) and Real Salt Lake sit 8th (28 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Real Salt Lake	20	8	4	8	34	32	28
13	Philadelphia Union	21	5	6	10	31	38	21

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?: The Footlab model makes Philadelphia Union the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Real Salt Lake.
Where and when is Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake played?: Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Subaru Park, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.