Match

Charlotte vs FC Dallas: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina

CharlotteFC Dallas

The Footlab AI model makes Charlotte the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for FC Dallas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Charlotte wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Charlotte vs FC Dallas?

A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Charlotte (1,933) and FC Dallas (1,976).

38%26%36%
Charlotte winDrawFC Dallas win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Charlotte vs FC Dallas

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Charlotte

4-3-3
  1. 16Pep Biel
  2. 10A. Saint-Maximin
  3. 11L. Abada
  1. 8A. Westwood
  2. 28D. Diani
  3. 17L. de la Torre
  1. 22H. Kessler
  2. 35Will Cleary
  3. 23D. Schnegg
  4. 14N. Byrne
  1. 1K. Kahlina

Known absences

  • A. GoodwinOut · Foot injury
  • A. JohnOut · Injured
  • N. BerchimasOut · Foot injury
  • T. ReamOut · Suspended (red card)
  • B. BronicoDoubtful · Injured

FC Dallas

3-4-2-1
  1. 23L. Farrington
  1. 21J. Valiente
  2. 55Kaick
  3. 12C. Cappis
  4. 17Ramiro
  5. 77B. Kamungo
  6. 10S. Moreno
  1. 18S. Moore
  2. 25S. Ibeagha
  3. 3O. Urhoghide
  1. 40J. Sirois

Known absences

  • DanielDoubtful · Leg injury
  • Geovane JesusDoubtful · Knee injury

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:58 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charlotte have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; FC Dallas have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Charlotte
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 26, 2026Chicago Fire(home)0-1Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2026DC United(away)2-1Major League Soccer
Sep 12, 2026FC Cincinnati(away)3-3Major League Soccer
Sep 9, 2026CF Montreal(away)2-1Major League Soccer
Sep 5, 2026Houston Dynamo(home)0-0Major League Soccer
FC Dallas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026Los Angeles FC(home)1-0Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Austin(home)0-0Major League Soccer
Sep 13, 2026Portland Timbers(home)2-1Major League Soccer
Sep 10, 2026Minnesota United FC(away)2-1Major League Soccer
Sep 6, 2026Sporting Kansas City(home)4-3Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Charlotte wins, 1 draw, 0 FC Dallas wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 22, 2023FC Dallas 2-2 CharlotteLeagues Cup

Last archived meeting: FC Dallas vs Charlotte on Jul 22, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Charlotte score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Dallas score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Charlotte1.91.158/159/15
FC Dallas1.61.558/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Charlotte sit 5th in Major League Soccer (43 points from 27 matches) and FC Dallas sit 3rd (47 points from 27 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3FC DallasWestern Conference271386504247
5CharlotteEastern Conference271278473843

A question about Charlotte vs FC Dallas?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Charlotte vs FC Dallas?
The Footlab AI model makes Charlotte the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for FC Dallas.
Where and when is Charlotte vs FC Dallas played?
Charlotte vs FC Dallas is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Bank of America Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Charlotte and FC Dallas

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