Where and when is Charlotte vs FC Dallas played?

Charlotte vs FC Dallas is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Bank of America Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Charlotte vs FC Dallas: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina

Charlotte

FC Dallas

The Footlab model makes Charlotte the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for FC Dallas. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Charlotte vs FC Dallas?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Charlotte (1,816) and FC Dallas (1,852).

Charlotte win45 %

Draw25 %

FC Dallas win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charlotte have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; FC Dallas have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Charlotte
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	DC United(home)	3-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	Toronto FC(away)	3-3	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	Columbus Crew(home)	3-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 11, 2026	CF Pachuca(home)	0-1	Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026	Atlas(home)	2-0	Leagues Cup

FC Dallas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Vancouver Whitecaps(away)	0-5	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	Real Salt Lake(away)	4-3	Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2026	Austin(away)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Toluca(away)	1-3	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Guadalajara Chivas(away)	1-0	Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Charlotte win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 FC Dallas win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 22, 2023	FC Dallas 2-2 Charlotte	Leagues Cup

Last archived meeting: FC Dallas vs Charlotte on Jul 22, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Charlotte score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Dallas score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Charlotte	1.7	1.1	4	7/15	8/15
FC Dallas	1.7	1.6	4	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Charlotte sit 5th in Major League Soccer (32 points from 21 matches) and FC Dallas sit 5th (33 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	FC Dallas	21	9	6	6	38	34	33
5	Charlotte	21	9	5	7	38	32	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Charlotte vs FC Dallas?: The Footlab model makes Charlotte the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for FC Dallas.
Where and when is Charlotte vs FC Dallas played?: Charlotte vs FC Dallas is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Bank of America Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.