Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Antônio Accioly, Goiânia, Goiás
The Footlab model makes Novorizontino the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Atletico Goianiense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Atletico Goianiense (1,860) and Novorizontino (1,943).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Goianiense have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Novorizontino have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Londrina(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vila Nova(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nautico Recife(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Operario-PR(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Cuiaba(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Athletic Club(away) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | America Mineiro(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | CRB(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Juventude(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Londrina(away) | 4-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Atletico Goianiense win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Novorizontino win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Novorizontino 3-0 Atletico Goianiense | Serie B |
| Sep 8, 2025 | Novorizontino 1-1 Atletico Goianiense | Serie B |
| May 4, 2025 | Atletico Goianiense 1-0 Novorizontino | Serie B |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Atletico Goianiense 2-2 Novorizontino | Serie B |
| Jul 7, 2023 | Novorizontino 2-2 Atletico Goianiense | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Novorizontino vs Atletico Goianiense on Jul 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Goianiense score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Novorizontino score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Goianiense | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Novorizontino | 1.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Goianiense sit 11th in Serie B (33 points from 23 matches) and Novorizontino sit 4th (40 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Novorizontino | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 21 | 40 |
| 11 | Atletico Goianiense | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino?
- The Footlab model makes Novorizontino the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Atletico Goianiense.
- Where and when is Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino played?
- Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino is played on October 24, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Antônio Accioly, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.