Avai vs Botafogo SP: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva, Florianópolis, Santa Catarina
The Footlab AI model makes Avai the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Botafogo SP. The most likely score is 1-1. If Avai wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avai vs Botafogo SP?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Avai (1,682) and Botafogo SP (1,676).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Avai vs Botafogo SP
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Avai
4-2-3-1- 18Hyan
- 10Jean Lucas
- 77Zé Ricardo
- 95Wenderson
- 8Luiz Henrique
- 14Daniel Penha
- 3Allyson
- 36DG
- 22João Vitor Cardoso de Souza
- 40Reynaldo
- 94Bruno Ferreira
Botafogo SP
4-2-3-1- 9Hygor
- 8Everton Morelli
- 10Rafael Gava
- 5L. Maciel
- 30Zé Hugo
- 23Wesley Pinheiro Santos
- 4Vilar
- 6Patrick Brey
- 3Ericson
- 31Pedro Henrique
- 1Victor Souza
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avai have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Botafogo SP have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Londrina(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ceara(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Criciuma(away) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Goias(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Vila Nova(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Operario-PR(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vila Nova(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Ponte Preta(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Athletic Club(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Goias(home) | 1-3 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Avai wins, 2 draws, 1 Botafogo SP win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2026 | Botafogo SP 3-1 Avai | Serie B |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Botafogo SP 0-0 Avai | Serie B |
| Jul 28, 2025 | Avai 5-0 Botafogo SP | Serie B |
| Nov 19, 2024 | Botafogo SP 1-3 Avai | Serie B |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Avai 1-1 Botafogo SP | Serie B |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Botafogo SP 0-1 Avai | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Avai score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Botafogo SP score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avai | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Botafogo SP | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avai sit 17th in Serie B (33 points from 32 matches) and Botafogo SP sit 16th (38 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 38 | 38 |
| 17 | Avai | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 43 | 33 |
A question about Avai vs Botafogo SP?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avai vs Botafogo SP?
- The Footlab AI model makes Avai the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Botafogo SP.
- Where and when is Avai vs Botafogo SP played?
- Avai vs Botafogo SP is played on October 24, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.