Match

America Mineiro vs Cuiaba: prediction and stats

Serie BRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Raimundo Sampaio, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais

America MineiroCuiaba

The Footlab AI model makes America Mineiro the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Cuiaba. The most likely score is 1-1. If America Mineiro wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win America Mineiro vs Cuiaba?

On Elo ratings, America Mineiro has 1,617 points and Cuiaba 1,741.

40%32%28%
America Mineiro winDrawCuiaba win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for America Mineiro vs Cuiaba

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

America Mineiro

4-2-3-1
  1. 9Willian
  1. 20Paulo Victor
  2. 88Barreto
  3. 77M. Segovia
  4. 7Guilherme Parede
  5. 93J. Jiménez
  1. 4Rafael Barcelos
  2. 3L. Sosa
  3. 25T. Ostchega
  4. 45Ricardo Silva
  1. 91Bruno Brígido

Cuiaba

3-4-2-1
  1. 90Fábio Gomes
  1. 77Jean Dias
  2. 2Igor Inocêncio
  3. 36Lorenzo
  4. 30Raul
  5. 20David Miguel
  6. 41Kauan
  1. 5Calebe
  2. 4Vitor Mendes
  3. 13João Basso
  1. 1João Carlos

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 03:33 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, America Mineiro have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Cuiaba have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

America Mineiro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Operario-PR(home)1-0Serie B
Oct 12, 2026Criciuma(away)0-1Serie B
Oct 7, 2026Fortaleza EC(home)0-1Serie B
Oct 3, 2026Atletico Goianiense(away)0-2Serie B
Sep 28, 2026Juventude(home)0-1Serie B
Cuiaba
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Avai(home)0-1Serie B
Oct 7, 2026Vila Nova(away)0-0Serie B
Oct 3, 2026Ponte Preta(home)2-0Serie B
Sep 27, 2026CRB(away)0-3Serie B
Sep 22, 2026Nautico Recife(home)3-0Serie B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 America Mineiro wins, 2 draws, 4 Cuiaba wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 2, 2026Cuiaba 1-0 America MineiroSerie B
Nov 16, 2025America Mineiro 1-1 CuiabaSerie B
Jul 24, 2025Cuiaba 3-1 America MineiroSerie B
Sep 15, 2023Cuiaba 2-2 America MineiroSerie A
May 7, 2023America Mineiro 1-2 CuiabaSerie A
Sep 29, 2022Cuiaba 2-1 America MineiroSerie A

Last archived meeting: Cuiaba vs America Mineiro on Jul 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

America Mineiro score 0.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cuiaba score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
America Mineiro0.61.534/156/15
Cuiaba1.20.956/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

America Mineiro sit 19th in Serie B (20 points from 34 matches) and Cuiaba sit 11th (47 points from 33 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Cuiaba3311148322647
19America Mineiro345524225420

A question about America Mineiro vs Cuiaba?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for America Mineiro vs Cuiaba?
The Footlab AI model makes America Mineiro the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Cuiaba.
Where and when is America Mineiro vs Cuiaba played?
America Mineiro vs Cuiaba is played on October 24, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Raimundo Sampaio, in the Serie B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: America Mineiro and Cuiaba

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