Atletico Grau vs Cusco: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeones del '36, Sullana
The Footlab model makes Atletico Grau the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Cusco. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Grau vs Cusco?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Atletico Grau (1,621) and Cusco (1,704).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Grau have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Cusco have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Cajamarca(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Juan Pablo II College(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sport Boys(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sport Huancayo(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Deportivo Garcilaso(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Juan Pablo II College(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | UTC Cajamarca(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Universitario(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atletico Grau win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Cusco win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Cusco 1-0 Atletico Grau | Primera División |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Cusco 1-0 Atletico Grau | Primera División |
| Jun 19, 2025 | Atletico Grau 0-0 Cusco | Primera División |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Atletico Grau 0-0 Cusco | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Oct 28, 2024 | Cusco 0-1 Atletico Grau | Primera División |
| May 17, 2024 | Atletico Grau 4-0 Cusco | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Cusco vs Atletico Grau on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Grau score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cusco score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Grau | 1.2 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Cusco | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Grau sit 16th in Primera División (16 points from 17 matches) and Cusco sit 6th (27 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Atletico Grau | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 24 | 27 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 24 | 27 |
| 7 | Cusco | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 34 | 35 | 36 |
| 9 | Cusco | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 6 |
| 9 | Cusco | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 9 |
| 12 | Atletico Grau | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 23 | 26 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 16 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Grau vs Cusco?
- The Footlab model makes Atletico Grau the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Cusco.
- Where and when is Atletico Grau vs Cusco played?
- Atletico Grau vs Cusco is played on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Campeones del '36, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026UniversitariovsUCV Moquegua
- Nov 7, 2026Sport BoysvsUTC Cajamarca
- Nov 7, 2026FBC MelgarvsJuan Pablo II College
- Nov 7, 2026CiencianovsSport Huancayo
- Nov 7, 2026Club Deportivo Los ChankasvsAlianza Lima
- Nov 7, 2026ADTvsSporting Cristal
- Nov 7, 2026Deportivo GarcilasovsComerciantes Unidos
- Nov 7, 2026FC CajamarcavsAlianza Atletico