Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Los Chankas, Andahuaylas
The Footlab model makes Alianza Lima the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Club Deportivo Los Chankas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima?
Alianza Lima starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,819 vs 1,678).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club Deportivo Los Chankas have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Alianza Lima have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Universitario(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FBC Melgar(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sport Huancayo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Alianza Atletico(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FBC Melgar(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UTC Cajamarca(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sport Boys(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Alianza Atletico(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Alianza Lima win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Alianza Lima 3-0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas | Primera División |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1-2 Alianza Lima | Primera División |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Alianza Lima 1-0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas | Primera División |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0-1 Alianza Lima | Primera División |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Alianza Lima 3-0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas | Primera División |
| Jun 11, 2021 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2-2 Alianza Lima | Copa Bicentenario |
Last archived meeting: Alianza Lima vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Club Deportivo Los Chankas score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Alianza Lima score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 1.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Alianza Lima | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Club Deportivo Los Chankas sit 2nd in Primera División (34 points from 17 matches) and Alianza Lima sit 1st (40 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 8 | 40 |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 8 | 40 |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 40 | 14 | 52 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 8 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 34 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 33 | 41 |
| 7 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima?
- The Footlab model makes Alianza Lima the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Club Deportivo Los Chankas.
- Where and when is Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima played?
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima is played on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Los Chankas, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026UniversitariovsUCV Moquegua
- Nov 7, 2026Sport BoysvsUTC Cajamarca
- Nov 7, 2026FBC MelgarvsJuan Pablo II College
- Nov 7, 2026CiencianovsSport Huancayo
- Nov 7, 2026Atletico GrauvsCusco
- Nov 7, 2026ADTvsSporting Cristal
- Nov 7, 2026Deportivo GarcilasovsComerciantes Unidos
- Nov 7, 2026FC CajamarcavsAlianza Atletico