Sport Boys vs UTC Cajamarca: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Grau del Callao, Callao
The Footlab model makes Sport Boys the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for UTC Cajamarca. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sport Boys vs UTC Cajamarca?
Sport Boys starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,635 vs 1,530).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sport Boys have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; UTC Cajamarca have 1, 7 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cienciano(home) | 5-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UCV Moquegua(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Alianza Lima(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atletico Grau(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | ADT(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Alianza Atletico(away) | 1-1 | Copa De La Liga |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Alianza Lima(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ADT(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cusco(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sport Boys win(s), 5 draw(s), 0 UTC Cajamarca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | UTC Cajamarca 0-0 Sport Boys | Primera División |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Sport Boys 2-2 UTC Cajamarca | Primera División |
| Jun 28, 2025 | UTC Cajamarca 1-1 Sport Boys | Primera División |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Sport Boys 1-1 UTC Cajamarca | Primera División |
| May 20, 2024 | UTC Cajamarca 2-4 Sport Boys | Primera División |
| Sep 29, 2023 | UTC Cajamarca 1-1 Sport Boys | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sport Boys score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; UTC Cajamarca score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Boys | 1.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| UTC Cajamarca | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sport Boys sit 11th in Primera División (20 points from 17 matches) and UTC Cajamarca sit 13th (18 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sport Boys | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Sport Boys | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 31 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 20 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 18 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 18 |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 2 |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 38 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sport Boys vs UTC Cajamarca?
- The Footlab model makes Sport Boys the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for UTC Cajamarca.
- Where and when is Sport Boys vs UTC Cajamarca played?
- Sport Boys vs UTC Cajamarca is played on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Miguel Grau del Callao, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026UniversitariovsUCV Moquegua
- Nov 7, 2026FBC MelgarvsJuan Pablo II College
- Nov 7, 2026CiencianovsSport Huancayo
- Nov 7, 2026Atletico GrauvsCusco
- Nov 7, 2026Club Deportivo Los ChankasvsAlianza Lima
- Nov 7, 2026ADTvsSporting Cristal
- Nov 7, 2026Deportivo GarcilasovsComerciantes Unidos
- Nov 7, 2026FC CajamarcavsAlianza Atletico