Where and when is Universitario vs UCV Moquegua played?

Universitario vs UCV Moquegua is played on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Monumental, in the Primera División.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Universitario vs UCV Moquegua: prediction and stats

Primera DivisiónClausura - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Monumental, Lima

Universitario

UCV Moquegua

The Footlab model makes Universitario the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for UCV Moquegua. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Universitario vs UCV Moquegua?

Universitario starts as the favourite with a 201-point Elo edge (1,807 vs 1,607).

Universitario win63 %

Draw23 %

UCV Moquegua win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Universitario have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; UCV Moquegua have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Universitario
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Club Deportivo Los Chankas(home)	3-0	Primera División
Aug 16, 2026	FC Cajamarca(away)	3-2	Primera División
Aug 8, 2026	Sporting Cristal(home)	1-1	Primera División
Aug 2, 2026	Cienciano(away)	0-2	Primera División
Jul 25, 2026	Cusco(home)	2-1	Primera División

UCV Moquegua
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Sport Huancayo(away)	2-0	Primera División
Aug 16, 2026	Sport Boys(home)	1-1	Primera División
Aug 9, 2026	Deportivo Garcilaso(away)	0-2	Primera División
Aug 2, 2026	FBC Melgar(home)	0-0	Primera División
Jul 26, 2026	UTC Cajamarca(away)	0-0	Primera División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Universitario win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 UCV Moquegua win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	UCV Moquegua 0-0 Universitario	Primera División

Last archived meeting: UCV Moquegua vs Universitario on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Universitario score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; UCV Moquegua score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Universitario	1.0	0.9	5	7/15	6/15
UCV Moquegua	0.9	1.1	5	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Universitario sit 4th in Primera División (29 points from 17 matches) and UCV Moquegua sit 14th (18 points from 17 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Universitario	6	4	1	1	11	7	13
2	Universitario	23	12	6	5	35	22	42
4	Universitario	17	8	5	4	24	15	29
4	Universitario	17	8	5	4	24	15	29
8	Universitario	4	2	1	1	5	5	7
12	UCV Moquegua	6	1	4	1	5	5	7
13	UCV Moquegua	23	6	7	10	22	29	25
14	UCV Moquegua	17	5	3	9	17	24	18
14	UCV Moquegua	17	5	3	9	17	24	18
15	UCV Moquegua	4	0	3	1	2	4	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Universitario vs UCV Moquegua?: The Footlab model makes Universitario the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for UCV Moquegua.
Where and when is Universitario vs UCV Moquegua played?: Universitario vs UCV Moquegua is played on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Monumental, in the Primera División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.