Match

ADT vs Sporting Cristal: prediction and stats

Primera DivisiónClausura - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)

ADTSporting Cristal

The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Cristal the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for ADT. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sporting Cristal wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win ADT vs Sporting Cristal?

Sporting Cristal starts as the favourite with a 203-point Elo edge (1,758 vs 1,556).

32%28%40%
ADT winDrawSporting Cristal win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for ADT vs Sporting Cristal

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

ADT

4-2-3-1
  1. 24S. Peralta
  1. 23J. Narváez
  2. 77Juan David Lucumí Cuero
  3. 16L. Pérez
  4. 7J. Rojas
  5. 18Aylton Mazzo
  1. 59O. Núñez
  2. 44H. Benincasa
  3. 98A. Ramos
  4. 99J. Pereyra
  1. 30J. Valencia

Sporting Cristal

4-4-2
  1. 22M. Hoyos
  2. 16L. Iberico
  1. 23M. Castro
  2. 7S. González
  3. 6A. Álvarez
  4. 19Y. Yotún
  1. 5R. Lutiger
  2. 8L. Sosa
  3. 20M. Araujo
  4. 90Cris Silva
  1. 1D. Enríquez

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:25 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ADT have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Sporting Cristal have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

ADT
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026FC Cajamarca(home)0-0Primera División
Oct 1, 2026Sporting Cristal(away)0-5Copa De La Liga
Sep 27, 2026Sporting Cristal(home)0-1Copa De La Liga
Sep 23, 2026Cienciano(home)2-1Primera División
Sep 19, 2026Alianza Lima(away)0-2Primera División
Sporting Cristal
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026UTC Cajamarca(away)1-0Primera División
Oct 1, 2026ADT(home)5-0Copa De La Liga
Sep 27, 2026ADT(away)1-0Copa De La Liga
Sep 19, 2026Atletico Grau(home)3-1Primera División
Sep 13, 2026UCV Moquegua(away)2-1Primera División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 ADT wins, 0 draws, 4 Sporting Cristal wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 1, 2026Sporting Cristal 5-0 ADTCopa De La Liga
Sep 27, 2026ADT 0-1 Sporting CristalCopa De La Liga
May 24, 2026Sporting Cristal 2-1 ADTPrimera División
Oct 4, 2025ADT 3-2 Sporting CristalPrimera División
May 17, 2025Sporting Cristal 2-1 ADTPrimera División
Jul 12, 2024ADT 3-1 Sporting CristalPrimera División

Last archived meeting: Sporting Cristal vs ADT on Oct 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

ADT score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Cristal score 2.0 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
ADT0.61.926/156/15
Sporting Cristal2.00.867/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

ADT sit 16th in Primera División (26 points from 28 matches) and Sporting Cristal sit 9th (41 points from 28 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Sporting Cristal2812511494041
16ADT286814294226

A question about ADT vs Sporting Cristal?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for ADT vs Sporting Cristal?
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Cristal the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for ADT.
Where and when is ADT vs Sporting Cristal played?
ADT vs Sporting Cristal is played on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: ADT and Sporting Cristal

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