Where and when is ADT vs Sporting Cristal played?

ADT vs Sporting Cristal is played on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera División.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

ADT vs Sporting Cristal: prediction and stats

Primera DivisiónClausura - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)

ADT

Sporting Cristal

The Footlab model makes ADT the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Sporting Cristal. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win ADT vs Sporting Cristal?

Sporting Cristal starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,734 vs 1,599).

ADT win40 %

Draw26 %

Sporting Cristal win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ADT have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Sporting Cristal have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

ADT
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Juan Pablo II College(away)	1-5	Primera División
Aug 15, 2026	Alianza Atletico(home)	1-1	Primera División
Aug 8, 2026	UTC Cajamarca(away)	1-1	Primera División
Aug 2, 2026	Deportivo Garcilaso(home)	0-1	Primera División
Jul 25, 2026	Sport Boys(away)	0-2	Primera División

Sporting Cristal
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Alianza Atletico(away)	1-3	Primera División
Aug 16, 2026	Sport Huancayo(home)	4-1	Primera División
Aug 8, 2026	Universitario(away)	1-1	Primera División
Aug 2, 2026	Juan Pablo II College(home)	2-0	Primera División
Jul 30, 2026	RB Bragantino(away)	0-1	CONMEBOL Sudamericana

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 ADT win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Sporting Cristal win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Sporting Cristal 2-1 ADT	Primera División
Oct 4, 2025	ADT 3-2 Sporting Cristal	Primera División
May 17, 2025	Sporting Cristal 2-1 ADT	Primera División
Jul 12, 2024	ADT 3-1 Sporting Cristal	Primera División
Jan 27, 2024	Sporting Cristal 6-2 ADT	Primera División
Aug 6, 2023	ADT 1-1 Sporting Cristal	Primera División

Last archived meeting: Sporting Cristal vs ADT on May 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

ADT score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Cristal score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
ADT	1.2	1.3	4	8/15	7/15
Sporting Cristal	1.4	1.3	4	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

ADT sit 10th in Primera División (20 points from 17 matches) and Sporting Cristal sit 12th (19 points from 17 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Sporting Cristal	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
5	Sporting Cristal	6	3	1	2	10	7	10
10	Sporting Cristal	23	8	5	10	38	37	29
10	ADT	17	5	5	7	22	21	20
10	ADT	17	5	5	7	22	21	20
12	Sporting Cristal	17	5	4	8	28	30	19
12	Sporting Cristal	17	5	4	8	28	30	19
16	ADT	23	5	7	11	26	33	22
18	ADT	4	0	1	3	2	6	1
18	ADT	6	0	2	4	4	12	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for ADT vs Sporting Cristal?: The Footlab model makes ADT the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Sporting Cristal.
Where and when is ADT vs Sporting Cristal played?: ADT vs Sporting Cristal is played on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.