Cienciano vs Sport Huancayo: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
The Footlab model makes Cienciano the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Sport Huancayo. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cienciano vs Sport Huancayo?
Cienciano starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,744 vs 1,605).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cienciano have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Sport Huancayo have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sport Boys(away) | 1-5 | Primera División |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Botafogo(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo Garcilaso(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Botafogo(home) | 6-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Alianza Atletico(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UCV Moquegua(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Cajamarca(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Atletico Grau(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cienciano win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Sport Huancayo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Sport Huancayo 2-2 Cienciano | Primera División |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Sport Huancayo 5-2 Cienciano | Primera División |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Cienciano 2-1 Sport Huancayo | Primera División |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Cienciano 3-1 Sport Huancayo | Primera División |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Sport Huancayo 1-2 Cienciano | Primera División |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Cienciano 1-0 Sport Huancayo | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Sport Huancayo vs Cienciano on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cienciano score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sport Huancayo score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cienciano | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Sport Huancayo | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cienciano sit 3rd in Primera División (33 points from 17 matches) and Sport Huancayo sit 17th (16 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sport Huancayo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 33 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 38 | 33 | 37 |
| 13 | Sport Huancayo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 40 | 23 |
| 16 | Cienciano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Cienciano | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 4 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 31 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 31 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cienciano vs Sport Huancayo?
- The Footlab model makes Cienciano the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Sport Huancayo.
- Where and when is Cienciano vs Sport Huancayo played?
- Cienciano vs Sport Huancayo is played on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026UniversitariovsUCV Moquegua
- Nov 7, 2026Sport BoysvsUTC Cajamarca
- Nov 7, 2026FBC MelgarvsJuan Pablo II College
- Nov 7, 2026Atletico GrauvsCusco
- Nov 7, 2026Club Deportivo Los ChankasvsAlianza Lima
- Nov 7, 2026ADTvsSporting Cristal
- Nov 7, 2026Deportivo GarcilasovsComerciantes Unidos
- Nov 7, 2026FC CajamarcavsAlianza Atletico