Match

FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico: prediction and stats

Primera DivisiónClausura - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, Cajamarca

FC CajamarcaAlianza Atletico

The Footlab model makes Alianza Atletico the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for FC Cajamarca. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico?

Alianza Atletico starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,699 vs 1,568).

FC Cajamarca win36 %
Draw26 %
Alianza Atletico win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Cajamarca have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Alianza Atletico have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Cajamarca
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Atletico Grau(home)1-3Primera División
Aug 16, 2026Universitario(home)2-3Primera División
Aug 9, 2026FBC Melgar(away)4-2Primera División
Aug 1, 2026Sport Huancayo(home)0-2Primera División
Jul 27, 2026Deportivo Garcilaso(away)1-2Primera División
Alianza Atletico
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Sporting Cristal(home)3-1Primera División
Aug 15, 2026ADT(away)1-1Primera División
Aug 6, 2026Cienciano(home)1-0Primera División
Aug 2, 2026Alianza Lima(away)1-3Primera División
Jul 24, 2026Club Deportivo Los Chankas(home)3-1Primera División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 FC Cajamarca win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Alianza Atletico win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Alianza Atletico 1-1 FC CajamarcaPrimera División

Last archived meeting: Alianza Atletico vs FC Cajamarca on May 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Cajamarca score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Alianza Atletico score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Cajamarca1.51.8013/1510/15
Alianza Atletico1.31.359/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Cajamarca sit 15th in Primera División (17 points from 17 matches) and Alianza Atletico sit 8th (21 points from 17 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Alianza Atletico17566201821
8Alianza Atletico17566201821
8Alianza Atletico6312101010
8Alianza Atletico23878302831
10Alianza Atletico4202686
13FC Cajamarca4112784
15FC Cajamarca17458232817
15FC Cajamarca17458232817
15FC Cajamarca611410144
17FC Cajamarca235612334221

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico?
The Footlab model makes Alianza Atletico the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for FC Cajamarca.
Where and when is FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico played?
FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico is played on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, in the Primera División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FC Cajamarca and Alianza Atletico

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