FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, Cajamarca
The Footlab model makes Alianza Atletico the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for FC Cajamarca. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico?
Alianza Atletico starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,699 vs 1,568).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Cajamarca have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Alianza Atletico have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Atletico Grau(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Universitario(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FBC Melgar(away) | 4-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sport Huancayo(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Deportivo Garcilaso(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ADT(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Cienciano(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Alianza Lima(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 FC Cajamarca win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Alianza Atletico win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Alianza Atletico 1-1 FC Cajamarca | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Alianza Atletico vs FC Cajamarca on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Cajamarca score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Alianza Atletico score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cajamarca | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
| Alianza Atletico | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Cajamarca sit 15th in Primera División (17 points from 17 matches) and Alianza Atletico sit 8th (21 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 21 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 21 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 30 | 28 | 31 |
| 10 | Alianza Atletico | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 4 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | 17 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | 17 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 4 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 33 | 42 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico?
- The Footlab model makes Alianza Atletico the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for FC Cajamarca.
- Where and when is FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico played?
- FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico is played on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026UniversitariovsUCV Moquegua
- Nov 7, 2026Sport BoysvsUTC Cajamarca
- Nov 7, 2026FBC MelgarvsJuan Pablo II College
- Nov 7, 2026CiencianovsSport Huancayo
- Nov 7, 2026Atletico GrauvsCusco
- Nov 7, 2026Club Deportivo Los ChankasvsAlianza Lima
- Nov 7, 2026ADTvsSporting Cristal
- Nov 7, 2026Deportivo GarcilasovsComerciantes Unidos