Match

FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico: prediction and stats

Primera DivisiónClausura - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, Cajamarca

FC CajamarcaAlianza Atletico

The Footlab AI model makes Alianza Atletico the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for FC Cajamarca. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alianza Atletico wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,713 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico?

Alianza Atletico starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,711 vs 1,558).

27%24%49%
FC Cajamarca winDrawAlianza Atletico win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Cajamarca

4-2-3-1
  1. 9P. Cejas
  1. 18Jefferson Gabriel Orejuela Izquierdo
  2. 17B. Palacios
  3. 11M. Arrasco
  4. 20C. Meza
  5. 13C. Correa
  1. 95Y. Vílchez
  2. 31S. Enciso
  3. 44Carlos Daniel Gómez Ccasani
  4. 21J. Vega
  1. 3J. Medina

Alianza Atletico

4-1-4-1
  1. 27J. Ingratti
  1. 17C. Penilla
  2. 10Germán Díaz
  3. 15H. Lupú
  4. 22J. del Castillo
  5. 23A. Muñoz
  1. 6J. Luján
  2. 16S. Fernández
  3. 24A. Gordillo
  4. 25W. Guzmán
  1. 95D. Prieto

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Cajamarca have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Alianza Atletico have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Cajamarca
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026ADT(away)0-0Primera División
Sep 19, 2026Cusco(home)1-2Primera División
Sep 12, 2026Club Deportivo Los Chankas(away)2-1Primera División
Sep 4, 2026Cienciano(home)2-5Primera División
Aug 28, 2026Comerciantes Unidos(away)3-2Primera División
Alianza Atletico
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Sport Boys(away)3-1Primera División
Oct 6, 2026Sport Boys(home)3-0Copa De La Liga
Sep 18, 2026Comerciantes Unidos(home)2-1Primera División
Sep 13, 2026Atletico Grau(away)1-3Primera División
Sep 4, 2026UTC Cajamarca(home)3-2Primera División

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 FC Cajamarca wins, 1 draw, 0 Alianza Atletico wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Alianza Atletico 1-1 FC CajamarcaPrimera División

Last archived meeting: Alianza Atletico vs FC Cajamarca on May 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Cajamarca score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Alianza Atletico score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Cajamarca1.52.0113/1510/15
Alianza Atletico2.11.3312/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Cajamarca sit 15th in Primera División (28 points from 28 matches) and Alianza Atletico sit 8th (43 points from 28 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Alianza Atletico281279433643
15FC Cajamarca287714415228

A question about FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico?
The Footlab AI model makes Alianza Atletico the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for FC Cajamarca.
Where and when is FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico played?
FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico is played on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, in the Primera División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: FC Cajamarca and Alianza Atletico

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