Atletico Mitre vs Chaco For Ever: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Aurinegro, Santiago del Estero, Prov. de Santiago del Estero
The Footlab model makes Atletico Mitre the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Chaco For Ever. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Mitre vs Chaco For Ever?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Atletico Mitre (1,710) and Chaco For Ever (1,721).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Mitre have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Chaco For Ever have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Deportivo Madryn(away) | 0-4 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Club Atlético Güemes(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Defensores De Belgrano(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ciudad de Bolívar(away) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Almirante Brown(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Los Andes(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gimnasia Jujuy(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Godoy Cruz(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportivo Moron(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Colon Santa Fe(away) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Atletico Mitre win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Chaco For Ever win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Chaco For Ever 1-1 Atletico Mitre | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Atletico Mitre 1-0 Chaco For Ever | Primera Nacional |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Chaco For Ever 0-1 Atletico Mitre | Primera Nacional |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Atletico Mitre 1-0 Chaco For Ever | Primera Nacional |
| Jun 9, 2024 | Chaco For Ever 1-1 Atletico Mitre | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Chaco For Ever 1-0 Atletico Mitre | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Chaco For Ever vs Atletico Mitre on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Mitre score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chaco For Ever score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Mitre | 1.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Chaco For Ever | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Mitre sit 12th in Primera Nacional (29 points from 26 matches) and Chaco For Ever sit 16th (25 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Atletico Mitre | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 29 |
| 16 | Chaco For Ever | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 29 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Mitre vs Chaco For Ever?
- The Footlab model makes Atletico Mitre the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Chaco For Ever.
- Where and when is Atletico Mitre vs Chaco For Ever played?
- Atletico Mitre vs Chaco For Ever is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Aurinegro, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.