San Martin Tucuman vs Agropecuario: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Ciudadela, San Miguel de Tucumán, Provincia de Tucumán
The Footlab model makes San Martin Tucuman the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 17% for Agropecuario. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Martin Tucuman vs Agropecuario?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate San Martin Tucuman (1,771) and Agropecuario (1,736).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Martin Tucuman have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Agropecuario have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chacarita Juniors(away) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo Madryn(home) | 2-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San Martin S.J.(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nueva Chicago(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Temperley(home) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tristan Suarez(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ciudad de Bolívar(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Club Atlético Güemes(home) | 3-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chacarita Juniors(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | San Martin S.J.(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 San Martin Tucuman win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Agropecuario win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Agropecuario 2-0 San Martin Tucuman | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 17, 2024 | San Martin Tucuman 1-0 Agropecuario | Primera Nacional |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Agropecuario 0-1 San Martin Tucuman | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 30, 2023 | San Martin Tucuman 1-1 Agropecuario | Primera Nacional |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Agropecuario 0-0 San Martin Tucuman | Primera Nacional |
| May 14, 2022 | Agropecuario 1-1 San Martin Tucuman | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Agropecuario vs San Martin Tucuman on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Martin Tucuman score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Agropecuario score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Martin Tucuman | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Agropecuario | 0.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Martin Tucuman sit 11th in Primera Nacional (32 points from 25 matches) and Agropecuario sit 15th (29 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | San Martin Tucuman | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 24 | 22 | 32 |
| 15 | Agropecuario | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 22 | 30 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Martin Tucuman vs Agropecuario?
- The Footlab model makes San Martin Tucuman the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 17% for Agropecuario.
- Where and when is San Martin Tucuman vs Agropecuario played?
- San Martin Tucuman vs Agropecuario is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Ciudadela, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.