Match

Austin vs Nashville SC: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Q2 Stadium, Austin, Texas

AustinNashville SC

The Footlab AI model makes Nashville SC the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Austin. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nashville SC wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Austin vs Nashville SC?

Nashville SC starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (2,025 vs 1,856).

26%27%47%
Austin winDrawNashville SC win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Austin vs Nashville SC

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Austin

3-4-3
  1. 11F. Torres
  2. 21C. Ramirez
  3. 9B. Vázquez
  1. 14B. Šabović
  2. 17J. Gallagher
  3. 38Ervin Torres
  4. 30J. Rosales
  1. 3M. Desler
  2. 15J. Bell
  3. 29Guilherme Biro
  1. 1B. Stuver

Nashville SC

4-2-3-1
  1. 9S. Surridge
  1. 10H. Mukhtar
  2. 7C. Espinoza
  3. 16M. Corcoran
  4. 11E. Saad
  5. 20E. Tagseth
  1. 3M. Woledzi
  2. 27R. Baker-Whiting
  3. 31A. Najar
  4. 4J. Palacios
  1. 99B. Schwake

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 01:26 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Austin have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Nashville SC have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Austin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026San Diego(home)3-3Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026FC Dallas(away)0-0Major League Soccer
Sep 13, 2026Vancouver Whitecaps(away)2-1Major League Soccer
Sep 10, 2026Colorado Rapids(home)1-1Major League Soccer
Sep 6, 2026San Jose Earthquakes(home)1-1Major League Soccer
Nashville SC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026Toronto FC(home)2-0Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Chicago Fire(home)3-0Major League Soccer
Sep 12, 2026Inter Miami(away)2-2Major League Soccer
Sep 9, 2026Toronto FC(away)1-2Major League Soccer
Sep 4, 2026New York City FC(away)0-0Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Austin wins, 1 draw, 3 Nashville SC wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 2, 2025Austin 1-2 Nashville SCUS Open Cup
Feb 15, 2025Austin 2-1 Nashville SCFriendlies Clubs
Aug 25, 2024Nashville SC 0-2 AustinMajor League Soccer
Sep 18, 2022Austin 1-1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
Sep 4, 2022Nashville SC 3-0 AustinMajor League Soccer
May 24, 2021Nashville SC 1-0 AustinMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Austin vs Nashville SC on Oct 2, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Austin score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nashville SC score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Austin1.31.239/157/15
Nashville SC1.90.967/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Austin sit 13th in Major League Soccer (31 points from 27 matches) and Nashville SC sit 1st (60 points from 27 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Nashville SCEastern Conference271863552160
13AustinWestern Conference2771010354731

A question about Austin vs Nashville SC?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Austin vs Nashville SC?
The Footlab AI model makes Nashville SC the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Austin.
Where and when is Austin vs Nashville SC played?
Austin vs Nashville SC is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Q2 Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Austin and Nashville SC

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