Where and when is Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes played?

Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes is played on September 6, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Q2 Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Q2 Stadium, Austin, Texas

Austin

San Jose Earthquakes

The Footlab model makes San Jose Earthquakes the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Austin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes?

A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Austin (1,765) and San Jose Earthquakes (1,805).

Austin win35 %

Draw25 %

San Jose Earthquakes win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Austin have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; San Jose Earthquakes have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Austin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Seattle Sounders(away)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2026	FC Dallas(home)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2026	Club America(away)	1-1	Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026	Puebla(home)	3-0	Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026	Club Tijuana(home)	2-0	Leagues Cup

San Jose Earthquakes
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Los Angeles Galaxy(away)	0-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	St. Louis City(home)	1-3	Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026	FC Cincinnati(away)	2-4	Major League Soccer
Jul 26, 2026	Los Angeles Galaxy(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Jul 23, 2026	Orlando City SC(home)	0-4	Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Austin win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 San Jose Earthquakes win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 23, 2026	San Jose Earthquakes 5-1 Austin	Major League Soccer
Oct 19, 2025	San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Austin	Major League Soccer
Aug 31, 2025	Austin 3-1 San Jose Earthquakes	Major League Soccer
Jul 9, 2025	San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Austin	US Open Cup
May 26, 2024	San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Austin	Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2024	Austin 4-3 San Jose Earthquakes	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin on Apr 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Austin score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; San Jose Earthquakes score 1.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Austin	1.3	1.7	4	7/15	10/15
San Jose Earthquakes	1.9	2.0	0	12/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Austin sit 14th in Major League Soccer (20 points from 20 matches) and San Jose Earthquakes sit 4th (33 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	San Jose Earthquakes	20	10	3	7	38	28	33
14	Austin	20	5	5	10	25	39	20

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes?: The Footlab model makes San Jose Earthquakes the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Austin.
Where and when is Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes played?: Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes is played on September 6, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Q2 Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.