Where and when is Seattle Sounders vs New York Red Bulls played?

Seattle Sounders vs New York Red Bulls is played on September 6, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Lumen Field, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Seattle Sounders vs New York Red Bulls: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Lumen Field, Seattle, Washington

Seattle Sounders

New York Red Bulls

The Footlab model makes Seattle Sounders the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for New York Red Bulls. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Seattle Sounders vs New York Red Bulls?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Seattle Sounders (1,832) and New York Red Bulls (1,747).

Seattle Sounders win57 %

Draw21 %

New York Red Bulls win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Seattle Sounders have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; New York Red Bulls have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Seattle Sounders
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Austin(home)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2026	Vancouver Whitecaps(home)	0-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Guadalajara Chivas(home)	1-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Club Queretaro(home)	3-0	Leagues Cup
Aug 6, 2026	Toluca(away)	0-3	Leagues Cup

New York Red Bulls
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Nashville SC(home)	0-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	Atlanta United FC(away)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026	Orlando City SC(home)	3-2	Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2026	Charlotte(home)	0-2	Major League Soccer
Jul 22, 2026	Philadelphia Union(away)	1-3	Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Seattle Sounders win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 New York Red Bulls win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 28, 2023	Seattle Sounders 1-0 New York Red Bulls	Major League Soccer
Sep 15, 2019	Seattle Sounders 4-2 New York Red Bulls	Major League Soccer
Jun 14, 2018	New York Red Bulls 2-1 Seattle Sounders	Major League Soccer
Mar 19, 2017	Seattle Sounders 3-1 New York Red Bulls	Major League Soccer
Jun 19, 2016	New York Red Bulls 2-0 Seattle Sounders	Major League Soccer
May 31, 2015	Seattle Sounders 2-1 New York Red Bulls	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Seattle Sounders vs New York Red Bulls on May 28, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Seattle Sounders score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; New York Red Bulls score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Seattle Sounders	1.0	1.9	1	9/15	9/15
New York Red Bulls	1.5	2.1	0	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Seattle Sounders sit 12th in Major League Soccer (24 points from 19 matches) and New York Red Bulls sit 8th (25 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	New York Red Bulls	20	7	4	9	30	42	25
12	Seattle Sounders	19	7	3	9	21	26	24

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Seattle Sounders vs New York Red Bulls?: The Footlab model makes Seattle Sounders the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for New York Red Bulls.
Where and when is Seattle Sounders vs New York Red Bulls played?: Seattle Sounders vs New York Red Bulls is played on September 6, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Lumen Field, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.