Where and when is New York City FC vs Nashville SC played?

New York City FC vs Nashville SC is played on September 4, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Yankee Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

New York City FC vs Nashville SC: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Yankee Stadium, New York City

New York City FC

Nashville SC

The Footlab model makes New York City FC the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Nashville SC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win New York City FC vs Nashville SC?

Nashville SC starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,939 vs 1,829).

New York City FC win37 %

Draw27 %

Nashville SC win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, New York City FC have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Nashville SC have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

New York City FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	FC Cincinnati(away)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Philadelphia Union(home)	2-3	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Necaxa(home)	1-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Cruz Azul(away)	1-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 6, 2026	Santos Laguna(home)	2-0	Leagues Cup

Nashville SC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	New York Red Bulls(away)	1-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Inter Miami(home)	4-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Monterrey(away)	1-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026	Atletico San Luis(home)	4-1	Leagues Cup
Aug 6, 2026	Leon(home)	0-1	Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 New York City FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Nashville SC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Nashville SC 2-1 New York City FC	Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2025	New York City FC 2-1 Nashville SC	Major League Soccer
May 31, 2025	Nashville SC 2-2 New York City FC	Major League Soccer
Oct 6, 2024	New York City FC 3-1 Nashville SC	Major League Soccer
Jun 23, 2024	Nashville SC 1-0 New York City FC	Major League Soccer
Apr 15, 2023	New York City FC 2-1 Nashville SC	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Nashville SC vs New York City FC on May 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

New York City FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nashville SC score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
New York City FC	1.5	1.3	3	10/15	9/15
Nashville SC	1.6	0.9	5	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

New York City FC sit 7th in Major League Soccer (26 points from 20 matches) and Nashville SC sit 1st (46 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nashville SC	20	14	4	2	40	15	46
7	New York City FC	20	7	5	8	34	29	26

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for New York City FC vs Nashville SC?: The Footlab model makes New York City FC the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Nashville SC.
Where and when is New York City FC vs Nashville SC played?: New York City FC vs Nashville SC is played on September 4, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Yankee Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.