Where and when is Charlotte vs Houston Dynamo played?

Charlotte vs Houston Dynamo is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Bank of America Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Charlotte vs Houston Dynamo: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina

Charlotte

Houston Dynamo

The Footlab model makes Charlotte the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Houston Dynamo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Charlotte vs Houston Dynamo?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Charlotte (1,816) and Houston Dynamo (1,837).

Charlotte win44 %

Draw26 %

Houston Dynamo win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charlotte have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Houston Dynamo have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Charlotte
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	DC United(home)	3-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	Toronto FC(away)	3-3	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	Columbus Crew(home)	3-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 11, 2026	CF Pachuca(home)	0-1	Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026	Atlas(home)	2-0	Leagues Cup

Houston Dynamo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	St. Louis City(away)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	Vancouver Whitecaps(away)	1-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Los Angeles Galaxy(home)	1-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 8, 2026	New England Revolution(away)	2-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 2, 2026	Sporting Kansas City(away)	2-0	Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Charlotte win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Houston Dynamo win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 30, 2024	Houston Dynamo 1-0 Charlotte	Major League Soccer
Aug 8, 2023	Charlotte 2-1 Houston Dynamo	Leagues Cup
Jul 4, 2022	Houston Dynamo 1-2 Charlotte	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Houston Dynamo vs Charlotte on Jun 30, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Charlotte score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Houston Dynamo score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Charlotte	1.7	1.1	4	7/15	8/15
Houston Dynamo	1.7	0.7	8	6/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Charlotte sit 5th in Major League Soccer (32 points from 21 matches) and Houston Dynamo sit 2nd (38 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Houston Dynamo	21	12	2	7	30	26	38
5	Charlotte	21	9	5	7	38	32	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Charlotte vs Houston Dynamo?: The Footlab model makes Charlotte the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Houston Dynamo.
Where and when is Charlotte vs Houston Dynamo played?: Charlotte vs Houston Dynamo is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Bank of America Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.