Where and when is Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal played?

Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Subaru Park, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Subaru Park, Chester, Pennsylvania

Philadelphia Union

CF Montreal

The Footlab model makes Philadelphia Union the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for CF Montreal. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Philadelphia Union (1,782) and CF Montreal (1,788).

Philadelphia Union win51 %

Draw24 %

CF Montreal win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Philadelphia Union have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; CF Montreal have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Philadelphia Union
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Austin(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	Inter Miami(home)	2-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	New York City FC(away)	3-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Santos Laguna(home)	0-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Necaxa(home)	3-1	Leagues Cup

CF Montreal
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Los Angeles Galaxy(home)	2-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	Columbus Crew(away)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	DC United(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026	New England Revolution(home)	2-2	Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2026	Inter Miami(home)	0-1	Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Philadelphia Union win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 CF Montreal win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	CF Montreal 1-2 Philadelphia Union	Major League Soccer
Feb 10, 2026	Philadelphia Union 2-4 CF Montreal	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 16, 2025	Philadelphia Union 2-1 CF Montreal	Major League Soccer
May 3, 2025	CF Montreal 1-2 Philadelphia Union	Major League Soccer
Feb 14, 2025	CF Montreal 0-1 Philadelphia Union	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 9, 2024	Philadelphia Union 2-0 CF Montreal	Leagues Cup

Last archived meeting: CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Philadelphia Union score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; CF Montreal score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Philadelphia Union	1.7	1.8	2	10/15	8/15
CF Montreal	1.7	1.4	3	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Philadelphia Union sit 12th in Major League Soccer (21 points from 21 matches) and CF Montreal sit 13th (21 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Philadelphia Union	21	5	6	10	31	38	21
13	CF Montreal	21	5	6	10	29	39	21

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal?: The Footlab model makes Philadelphia Union the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for CF Montreal.
Where and when is Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal played?: Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Subaru Park, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.